Handball · Serbia Superliga Women · 16/09, 20:00

Prediction: Mladost NP (W) vs HC Naisa Nis (W)

Team pages: Mladost NP (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

54.6Total

Mladost NP (W)26.7

HC Naisa Nis (W)27.9

1X2

34% 66%

Mladost NP (W) HC Naisa Nis (W)

Markets

Over 51.5 points 70%

Recent form · 10 last

Mladost NP (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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HC Naisa Nis (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDLWLWWLLW

Head-to-head

Mladost NP (W) 3–1–2 HC Naisa Nis (W) (6 last)

HC Naisa Nis (W)29-24Mladost NP (W)
Mladost NP (W)24-25HC Naisa Nis (W)
Mladost NP (W)23-23HC Naisa Nis (W)
HC Naisa Nis (W)23-24Mladost NP (W)
Mladost NP (W)25-22HC Naisa Nis (W)
Mladost NP (W)29-28HC Naisa Nis (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mladost NP (W) 1474 · HC Naisa Nis (W) 1539

	Mladost NP (W)	HC Naisa Nis (W)
Our model	51%	49%
Market	21%	69%

Estimated total (ours) 54.6 points · Bet365 line 51.5 · +3.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points54.6Mladost NP (W) 26.7 · HC Naisa Nis (W) 27.9

Over / Under 51.5Over · 70%recent trend · ~54.8 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Naisa Nis (W) (rating 1474 vs 1539).
HC Naisa Nis (W) is a clear favourite (66% market).
H2H favours Mladost NP (W): 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Mladost NP (W)	HC Naisa Nis (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.8 / 28.7	27.5 / 26.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25 / 28.2	27.2 / 25.4
Est. result	27	28

Est. total54.6

Line O/U51.5

Diff.3.1

Over / Under70% / 30%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

14.25

X9.00

21.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3.5)1.85

2 (-3.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 51.51.85

Under 51.51.85

Diff.: 3.4 · Est. total: 54.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.25 → 4.25	Bet365 4.25
X	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
2	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:22 +29’	4.25	9.00	1.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mladost NP (W) 3–1–2 HC Naisa Nis (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Serbia Superliga Women	HC Naisa Nis (W)	29-24	Mladost NP (W)
25/10/25 Serbia Superliga Women	Mladost NP (W)	24-25	HC Naisa Nis (W)
10/05/25 Serbia Superliga Women	Mladost NP (W)	23-23	HC Naisa Nis (W)
24/01/25 Serbia Superliga Women	HC Naisa Nis (W)	23-24	Mladost NP (W)
07/09/24 Serbia Superliga Women	Mladost NP (W)	25-22	HC Naisa Nis (W)
27/04/24 Serbia Superliga Women	Mladost NP (W)	29-28	HC Naisa Nis (W)

Standings · Serbia Superliga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Radnicki Kragujevac (W)	1	1	0	29	18	2
2	Crvena Zvezda (W)	1	1	0	39	29	2
3	HC Naisa Nis (W)	1	1	0	36	28	2
4	ZRK Bor (W)	1	1	0	27	19	2
5	ZRK Ruma (W)	1	1	0	23	16	2
6	GZRK Napredak 12 (W)	1	1	0	23	22	2
7	ZRK Partizan (W)	1	0	1	22	23	0
8	Mladost NP (W)	1	0	1	16	23	0
9	ZRK Temerin (W)	1	0	1	28	36	0
10	Jagodina (W)	1	0	1	19	27	0
11	RK Vojvodina (W)	1	0	1	29	39	0
12	ZRK Bukovicka Banja (W)	1	0	1	18	29	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mladost NP (W)	HC Naisa Nis (W)
ZRK Bor (W)	31-25 W	28-20 W
Crvena Zvezda (W)	25-35 L	19-25 L
ZRK Temerin (W)	33-36 L	36-28 W
ZRK Partizan (W)	28-24 W	30-31 L
Jagodina (W)	21-24 L	21-22 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HC Naisa Nis (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mladost NP (W)

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
11/09	ZRK Ruma (W) Serbia Superliga Women	16-23	L
16/05	ZRK Bor (W) Serbia Superliga Women	31-25	W
11/05	Crvena Zvezda (W) Serbia Superliga Women	25-35	L
30/04	Crvena Zvezda (W) Serbia Superliga Women	21-34	L
27/04	ZRK Bukovicka Banja (W) Serbia Superliga Women	32-24	W
19/04	ZRK Medicinar (W) Serbia Superliga Women	37-33	W
15/04	ZRK Temerin (W) Serbia Superliga Women	33-36	L
03/04	ZRK Partizan (W) Serbia Superliga Women	28-24	W
21/03	HC Naisa Nis (W) Serbia Superliga Women	24-29	L
15/03	Jagodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	21-24	L

HC Naisa Nis (W)

LDLWLWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
13/09	ZRK Temerin (W) Serbia Superliga Women	36-28	W
24/05	Crvena Zvezda (W) Serbia Superliga Women	19-25	L
18/05	Crvena Zvezda (W) Serbia Superliga Women	28-32	L
08/05	ZRK Bor (W) Serbia Superliga Women	28-20	W
30/04	ZRK Bor (W) Serbia Superliga Women	25-22	W
26/04	ZRK Partizan (W) Serbia Superliga Women	30-31	L
18/04	GZRK Napredak 12 (W) Serbia Superliga Women	34-29	W
15/04	Jagodina (W) Serbia Superliga Women	21-22	L
03/04	ZRK Bor (W) Serbia Superliga Women	28-28	D
25/03	Crvena Zvezda (W) Serbia Superliga Women	26-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mladost NP (W) vs HC Naisa Nis (W)?

Our model gives 66% to HC Naisa Nis (W).

How many points are expected in Mladost NP (W) vs HC Naisa Nis (W)?

The model estimates 54.6 total points (Mladost NP (W) 26.7 · HC Naisa Nis (W) 27.9).

Over or under 51.5 points?

Recent history points to over 51.5 points (70%).