Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 03/10, 18:00

Prediction: BSV Bern Muri vs HSC Suhr Aarau

Team pages: BSV Bern Muri · HSC Suhr Aarau

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.2Total

BSV Bern Muri31.5

HSC Suhr Aarau27.7

1X2

75% 25%

BSV Bern Muri HSC Suhr Aarau

Markets

Under 61.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

BSV Bern Muri 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWWLWDL

HSC Suhr Aarau 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLWWL

Head-to-head

BSV Bern Muri 4–2 HSC Suhr Aarau (6 last)

BSV Bern Muri38-25HSC Suhr Aarau
HSC Suhr Aarau27-31BSV Bern Muri
HSC Suhr Aarau35-32BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri39-27HSC Suhr Aarau
HSC Suhr Aarau27-26BSV Bern Muri
BSV Bern Muri33-30HSC Suhr Aarau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BSV Bern Muri 1547 · HSC Suhr Aarau 1466

	BSV Bern Muri	HSC Suhr Aarau
Our model	70%	30%
Market	71%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 59.2 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -2.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.2BSV Bern Muri 31.5 · HSC Suhr Aarau 27.7

Over / Under 61.5Under · 65%recent trend · ~58.6 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BSV Bern Muri (rating 1547 vs 1466).
BSV Bern Muri is a clear favourite (75% market).
H2H favours BSV Bern Muri: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	BSV Bern Muri	HSC Suhr Aarau
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 30.5	27.7 / 28.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 30.4	27.2 / 25.8
Est. result	32	28

Est. total59.2

Line O/U61.5

Diff.2.3

Over / Under35% / 65%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.27

X9.50

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3.5)1.75

2 (+3.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 2.85 · Est. total: 58.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
12:28	1.27	9.50	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BSV Bern Muri 4–0–2 HSC Suhr Aarau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	38-25	HSC Suhr Aarau
13/12/25 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	27-31	BSV Bern Muri
08/11/25 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	35-32	BSV Bern Muri
08/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	39-27	HSC Suhr Aarau
05/04/25 Switzerland MNLA	HSC Suhr Aarau	27-26	BSV Bern Muri
19/12/24 Switzerland MNLA	BSV Bern Muri	33-30	HSC Suhr Aarau

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	7	7	0	0	259	213	14
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	8	6	1	1	262	232	13
3	Pfadi Winterthur	8	3	1	4	250	234	7
4	BSV Bern Muri	7	3	1	3	219	207	7
5	Wacker Thun	7	3	1	3	228	223	7
6	RTV 1879 Basel	7	3	0	4	210	217	6
7	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	7	3	0	4	201	208	6
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	7	3	0	4	180	190	6
9	Amicitia Zurich	7	3	0	4	220	234	6
10	Handball Stafa	7	0	0	7	184	255	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BSV Bern Muri	HSC Suhr Aarau
Wacker Thun	30-30 D	28-27 W
Amicitia Zurich	34-26 W	23-27 L
Kadetten Schaffhausen	29-31 L	20-28 L
RTV 1879 Basel	30-28 W	22-23 L
Handball Stafa	34-21 W	31-21 W
TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	30-34 L	32-31 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: BSV Bern Muri (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BSV Bern Muri

LLLLWWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
26/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	32-37	L
23/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	30-30	D
16/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	34-26	W
06/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-31	L
02/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	30-28	W
29/08	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	34-21	W
26/08	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	30-34	L
02/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	30-31	L
29/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-29	L
25/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-38	L

HSC Suhr Aarau

WLWLLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
27/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	23-27	L
23/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	31-21	W
12/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	28-27	W
05/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	22-23	L
02/09	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	32-31	W
30/08	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	24-33	L
26/08	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	20-28	L
25/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	34-32	W
22/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	32-33	L
19/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	31-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BSV Bern Muri vs HSC Suhr Aarau?

Our model gives 75% to BSV Bern Muri.

How many points are expected in BSV Bern Muri vs HSC Suhr Aarau?

The model estimates 59.2 total points (BSV Bern Muri 31.5 · HSC Suhr Aarau 27.7).

Over or under 61.5 points?

Recent history points to under 61.5 points (65%).