Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 23/09, 19:15

Prediction: Kadetten Schaffhausen vs Pfadi Winterthur

Team pages: Kadetten Schaffhausen · Pfadi Winterthur

Prediction summary

Estimated points

62.3Total

Kadetten Schaffhausen32.4

Pfadi Winterthur29.9

1X2

80% 20%

Kadetten Schaffhausen Pfadi Winterthur

Recent form · 10 last

Kadetten Schaffhausen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWDL

Pfadi Winterthur 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWWLDW

Head-to-head

Kadetten Schaffhausen 5–1–0 Pfadi Winterthur (6 last)

Pfadi Winterthur29-29Kadetten Schaffhausen
Kadetten Schaffhausen35-30Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur26-29Kadetten Schaffhausen
Pfadi Winterthur27-29Kadetten Schaffhausen
Kadetten Schaffhausen33-30Pfadi Winterthur
Pfadi Winterthur30-34Kadetten Schaffhausen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kadetten Schaffhausen 1588 · Pfadi Winterthur 1494

	Kadetten Schaffhausen	Pfadi Winterthur
Our model	72%	28%
Market	78%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 62.3 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points62.3Kadetten Schaffhausen 32.4 · Pfadi Winterthur 29.9

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kadetten Schaffhausen (rating 1588 vs 1494).
Kadetten Schaffhausen is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Kadetten Schaffhausen: 5-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kadetten Schaffhausen	Pfadi Winterthur
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.9 / 32.6	30.6 / 30.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	33.6 / 31.8	32 / 26.2
Est. result	32	30

Est. total62.3

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.15

X11.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-5.5)1.85

2 (+5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 1.8 · Est. total: 63.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:40 +9’	1.15	11.00	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kadetten Schaffhausen 5–1–0 Pfadi Winterthur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	29-29	Kadetten Schaffhausen
07/03/26 Switzerland MNLA	Kadetten Schaffhausen	35-30	Pfadi Winterthur
28/12/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	26-29	Kadetten Schaffhausen
20/12/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	27-29	Kadetten Schaffhausen
03/09/25 Switzerland MNLA	Kadetten Schaffhausen	33-30	Pfadi Winterthur
22/03/25 Switzerland MNLA	Pfadi Winterthur	30-34	Kadetten Schaffhausen

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	5	5	0	0	179	146	10
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	6	4	1	1	196	179	9
3	Pfadi Winterthur	6	3	1	2	189	165	7
4	BSV Bern Muri	5	3	0	2	157	140	6
5	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	149	145	6
6	Wacker Thun	5	2	0	3	164	160	4
7	Amicitia Zurich	5	2	0	3	158	168	4
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	5	2	0	3	126	142	4
9	RTV 1879 Basel	5	1	0	4	139	159	2
10	Handball Stafa	5	0	0	5	132	185	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kadetten Schaffhausen	Pfadi Winterthur
HC Kriens-Luzern	32-38 L	29-34 L
HSC Suhr Aarau	28-20 W	33-24 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pfadi Winterthur (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kadetten Schaffhausen

WLLLWWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	32-38	L
12/09	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	29-29	D
06/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	31-29	W
02/09	Amicitia Zurich Switzerland MNLA	34-28	W
29/08	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	42-35	W
26/08	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	28-20	W
30/05	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	33-39	L
27/05	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	36-41	L
24/05	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	33-37	L
02/05	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	31-30	W

Pfadi Winterthur

WLLLLWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	34-30	W
12/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	29-29	D
06/09	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	25-27	L
02/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-21	W
30/08	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	33-24	W
26/08	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-34	L
03/05	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	29-35	L
30/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	33-41	L
26/04	HC Kriens-Luzern Switzerland MNLA	27-38	L
18/04	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	28-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kadetten Schaffhausen vs Pfadi Winterthur?

Our model gives 80% to Kadetten Schaffhausen.

How many points are expected in Kadetten Schaffhausen vs Pfadi Winterthur?

The model estimates 62.3 total points (Kadetten Schaffhausen 32.4 · Pfadi Winterthur 29.9).