Handball · Switzerland MNLA · 23/09, 19:15

Prediction: Amicitia Zurich vs HC Kriens-Luzern

Team pages: Amicitia Zurich · HC Kriens-Luzern

Prediction summary

Estimated points

65.3Total

Amicitia Zurich30.4

HC Kriens-Luzern34.9

1X2

23% 77%

Amicitia Zurich HC Kriens-Luzern

Markets

Over 60.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Amicitia Zurich 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWWLLL

HC Kriens-Luzern 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Amicitia Zurich 0–6 HC Kriens-Luzern (6 last)

Amicitia Zurich25-34HC Kriens-Luzern
HC Kriens-Luzern32-25Amicitia Zurich
Amicitia Zurich29-32HC Kriens-Luzern
Amicitia Zurich27-37HC Kriens-Luzern
HC Kriens-Luzern37-32Amicitia Zurich
Amicitia Zurich28-29HC Kriens-Luzern

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Amicitia Zurich 1455 · HC Kriens-Luzern 1641

	Amicitia Zurich	HC Kriens-Luzern
Our model	34%	66%
Market	14%	78%

Estimated total (ours) 65.3 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · +4.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points65.3Amicitia Zurich 30.4 · HC Kriens-Luzern 34.9

Over / Under 60.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~65.2 pts · strength 5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HC Kriens-Luzern (rating 1455 vs 1641).
HC Kriens-Luzern is a clear favourite (77% market).
H2H favours HC Kriens-Luzern: 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Amicitia Zurich	HC Kriens-Luzern
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.2 / 32.6	37.2 / 31
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31.6 / 33.6	35.8 / 29.2
Est. result	30	35

Est. total65.3

Line O/U60.5

Diff.4.8

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

16.50

X11.00

21.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+5.5)1.85

2 (-5.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.85

Under 60.51.85

Diff.: 5 · Est. total: 65.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50
X	11.00 → 11.00	Bet365 11.00
2	1.15 → 1.15	Bet365 1.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
09:35 +14’	6.50	11.00	1.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Amicitia Zurich 0–0–6 HC Kriens-Luzern

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	25-34	HC Kriens-Luzern
17/12/25 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	32-25	Amicitia Zurich
04/10/25 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	29-32	HC Kriens-Luzern
03/04/25 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	27-37	HC Kriens-Luzern
21/02/25 Switzerland MNLA	HC Kriens-Luzern	37-32	Amicitia Zurich
23/11/24 Switzerland MNLA	Amicitia Zurich	28-29	HC Kriens-Luzern

Standings · Switzerland MNLA

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Kriens-Luzern	5	5	0	0	179	146	10
2	Kadetten Schaffhausen	6	4	1	1	196	179	9
3	Pfadi Winterthur	6	3	1	2	189	165	7
4	BSV Bern Muri	5	3	0	2	157	140	6
5	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen	5	3	0	2	149	145	6
6	Wacker Thun	5	2	0	3	164	160	4
7	Amicitia Zurich	5	2	0	3	158	168	4
8	HSC Suhr Aarau	5	2	0	3	126	142	4
9	RTV 1879 Basel	5	1	0	4	139	159	2
10	Handball Stafa	5	0	0	5	132	185	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Amicitia Zurich	HC Kriens-Luzern
Wacker Thun	30-38 L	31-26 W
Kadetten Schaffhausen	28-34 L	38-32 W
Handball Stafa	39-33 W	42-33 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: HC Kriens-Luzern (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Amicitia Zurich

WWLLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
16/09	BSV Bern Muri Switzerland MNLA	26-34	L
05/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	30-38	L
02/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-34	L
29/08	RTV 1879 Basel Switzerland MNLA	35-29	W
26/08	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	39-33	W
15/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	27-31	L
11/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	25-36	L
08/04	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	28-32	L
01/04	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	33-32	W
25/03	HSC Suhr Aarau Switzerland MNLA	31-27	W

HC Kriens-Luzern

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	38-32	W
05/09	Handball Stafa Switzerland MNLA	42-33	W
02/09	Wacker Thun Switzerland MNLA	31-26	W
30/08	TSV St. Otmar St. Gallen Switzerland MNLA	34-26	W
26/08	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	34-29	W
30/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	39-33	W
27/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	41-36	W
24/05	Kadetten Schaffhausen Switzerland MNLA	37-33	W
03/05	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	35-29	W
30/04	Pfadi Winterthur Switzerland MNLA	41-33	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Amicitia Zurich vs HC Kriens-Luzern?

Our model gives 77% to HC Kriens-Luzern.

How many points are expected in Amicitia Zurich vs HC Kriens-Luzern?

The model estimates 65.3 total points (Amicitia Zurich 30.4 · HC Kriens-Luzern 34.9).

Over or under 60.5 points?

Recent history points to over 60.5 points (65%).