Prediction: Valence vs Creteil
The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.
- Valence36-27Creteil
- Creteil33-35Valence
- Valence26-32Creteil
| Valence | Creteil | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 45% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Valence: 2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Valence | Creteil | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 33.1 / 33.7 | 30.1 / 30.6 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 33.6 / 32.6 | 29.2 / 29.8 |
| Est. result | 33 | 32 |
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valence 2–0–1 Creteil
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/26 France Proligue | Valence | 36-27 | Creteil |
| 24/10/25 France Proligue | Creteil | 33-35 | Valence |
| 29/08/23 France Cup | Valence | 26-32 | Creteil |
Standings · France Proligue
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Billere | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 226 | 16 |
| 2 | JS Cherbourg | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 242 | 14 |
| 3 | Ivry | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 264 | 232 | 13 |
| 4 | Dijon | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 219 | 12 |
| 5 | Creteil | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 246 | 238 | 12 |
| 6 | Pontault-Combault | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 253 | 245 | 11 |
| 7 | Cournon d'Auvergne | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 245 | 237 | 9 |
| 8 | US Saintes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 238 | 242 | 8 |
| 9 | Valence | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 268 | 269 | 7 |
| 10 | Grand Besançon | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 236 | 244 | 6 |
| 11 | Draguignan VHB | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 218 | 245 | 6 |
| 12 | Sarrebourg | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 223 | 243 | 6 |
| 13 | Val D'Oise | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 242 | 253 | 5 |
| 14 | Istres Provence | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 217 | 232 | 4 |
| 15 | Massy | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 238 | 267 | 4 |
| 16 | Frontignan | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 229 | 268 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Valence | Creteil |
|---|---|---|
| Massy | 44-33 W | 35-33 W |
| Grand Besançon | 30-34 L | 32-28 W |
| Ivry | 32-41 L | 30-30 D |
| JS Cherbourg | 35-36 L | 30-33 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valence
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Massy France Proligue |
44-33 | W |
| 16/10 | Billere France Proligue |
31-31 | D |
| 09/10 | Cournon d'Auvergne France Proligue |
33-33 | D |
| 02/10 | Grand Besançon France Proligue |
30-34 | L |
| 25/09 | Val D'Oise France Proligue |
30-32 | L |
| 17/09 | Ivry France Proligue |
32-41 | L |
| 11/09 | Istres Provence France Proligue |
33-29 | W |
| 05/09 | JS Cherbourg France Proligue |
35-36 | L |
| 24/05 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
33-36 | L |
| 20/05 | Pontault-Combault France Proligue |
30-32 | L |
Creteil
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Ivry France Proligue |
30-30 | D |
| 16/10 | Draguignan VHB France Proligue |
29-28 | W |
| 09/10 | JS Cherbourg France Proligue |
30-33 | L |
| 02/10 | Dijon France Proligue |
28-30 | L |
| 25/09 | Sarrebourg France Proligue |
29-28 | W |
| 18/09 | Frontignan France Proligue |
33-28 | W |
| 11/09 | Massy France Proligue |
35-33 | W |
| 04/09 | Grand Besançon France Proligue |
32-28 | W |
| 24/05 | Caen Handball France Proligue |
25-37 | L |
| 21/05 | Caen Handball France Proligue |
30-31 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valence vs Creteil?
Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Valence 53% · Creteil 47%).
How many points are expected in Valence vs Creteil?
The model estimates 64.3 total points (Valence 32.5 · Creteil 31.8).
Over or under 64.5 points?
Recent history points to under 64.5 points (75%).