Handball · Spain Liga Guerreras Women · 14/10, 20:00

Prediction: CBF Malaga (W) vs Atletico Guardes (W)

Team pages: CBF Malaga (W) · Atletico Guardes (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

43.2Total

CBF Malaga (W)21.8

Atletico Guardes (W)21.3

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

55% 45%

CBF Malaga (W) Atletico Guardes (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

CBF Malaga (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLWLLWW

Atletico Guardes (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWLDLWWWWD

Head-to-head

CBF Malaga (W) 1–5 Atletico Guardes (W) (6 last)

Atletico Guardes (W)26-23CBF Malaga (W)
CBF Malaga (W)24-26Atletico Guardes (W)
Atletico Guardes (W)19-25CBF Malaga (W)
CBF Malaga (W)23-24Atletico Guardes (W)
Atletico Guardes (W)23-22CBF Malaga (W)
CBF Malaga (W)21-26Atletico Guardes (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CBF Malaga (W) 1490 · Atletico Guardes (W) 1529

	CBF Malaga (W)	Atletico Guardes (W)
Our model	54%	46%
Market	49%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 43.2 points · Bet365 line 47.5 · -4.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points43.2CBF Malaga (W) 21.8 · Atletico Guardes (W) 21.3

Match keys

H2H favours Atletico Guardes (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	CBF Malaga (W)	Atletico Guardes (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	23.1 / 22	22.3 / 20.1
Points F\|A (Last 5)	24.8 / 20.4	24.4 / 18.8
Est. result	22	21

Est. total43.2

Line O/U47.5

Diff.4.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X7.50

22.35

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 47.51.85

Under 47.51.85

Diff.: 3.75 · Est. total: 43.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.85▲	Bet365 1.85
X	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50
2	2.90 → 2.35▼	Bet365 2.35

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:45 +31’	1.57	7.50	2.90
17:06 +10’	1.85▲	7.50	2.35▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CBF Malaga (W) 1–0–5 Atletico Guardes (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 European Cup Women	Atletico Guardes (W)	26-23	CBF Malaga (W)
19/04/26 European Cup Women	CBF Malaga (W)	24-26	Atletico Guardes (W)
22/02/26 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	Atletico Guardes (W)	19-25	CBF Malaga (W)
25/10/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	CBF Malaga (W)	23-24	Atletico Guardes (W)
05/04/25 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	Atletico Guardes (W)	23-22	CBF Malaga (W)
20/12/24 Spain Liga Guerreras Women	CBF Malaga (W)	21-26	Atletico Guardes (W)

Standings · Spain Liga Guerreras Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bera Bera (W)	5	5	0	0	137	107	10
2	Atletico Guardes (W)	5	4	1	0	122	94	9
3	BM Elche (W)	5	4	0	1	124	107	8
4	Elda Prestigio (W)	5	4	0	1	121	113	8
5	CBF Malaga (W)	5	3	0	2	124	102	6
6	Sporting La Rioja (W)	4	3	0	1	97	98	6
7	Beti-Onak (W)	5	2	1	2	113	116	5
8	BM Porrino (W)	5	2	0	3	103	121	4
9	BM Morvedre (W)	5	2	0	3	102	112	4
10	BM Granollers (W)	5	2	0	3	109	122	4
11	Rocasa (W)	5	1	0	4	133	137	2
12	Oviedo BM (W)	4	1	0	3	77	82	2
13	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W)	5	0	0	5	118	134	0
14	Pozuelo de Calatrava (W)	5	0	0	5	99	134	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CBF Malaga (W)	Atletico Guardes (W)
BM Porrino (W)	28-16 W	15-20 L
Rocasa (W)	30-27 W	25-21 W
Elda Prestigio (W)	20-23 L	26-27 L
Beti-Onak (W)	23-20 W	21-21 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CBF Malaga (W)

LLWLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	BM Porrino (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	28-16	W
03/10	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	30-27	W
16/09	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	20-23	L
12/09	Bera Bera (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	17-22	L
09/09	Pozuelo de Calatrava (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	29-14	W
24/05	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	18-21	L
16/05	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	23-27	L
03/05	Beti-Onak (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	23-20	W
28/04	Beti-Onak (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	22-24	L
14/04	San Jose Obrero (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	21-26	L

Atletico Guardes (W)

LWLDLWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
10/10	Beti-Onak (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	21-21	D
29/09	Lanzarote Zonzamas (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	26-24	W
16/09	BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	20-16	W
12/09	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	26-16	W
09/09	Sporting La Rioja (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	29-17	W
02/05	BM Porrino (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	15-20	L
15/04	BM Morvedre (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	23-23	D
04/04	Elda Prestigio (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	26-27	L
31/03	Rocasa (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	25-21	W
18/03	BM Elche (W) Spain Liga Guerreras Women	12-16	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CBF Malaga (W) vs Atletico Guardes (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (CBF Malaga (W) 55% · Atletico Guardes (W) 45%).

How many points are expected in CBF Malaga (W) vs Atletico Guardes (W)?

The model estimates 43.2 total points (CBF Malaga (W) 21.8 · Atletico Guardes (W) 21.3).