Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga Women · 10/10, 20:00

Prediction: ZRK Ajdovscina (W) vs ZRD Litija (W)

Team pages: ZRK Ajdovscina (W) · ZRD Litija (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56Total

ZRK Ajdovscina (W)32.2

ZRD Litija (W)23.8

1X2

90% 10%

ZRK Ajdovscina (W) ZRD Litija (W)

Recent form · 10 last

ZRK Ajdovscina (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWW

ZRD Litija (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLWLDLLWL

Head-to-head

ZRK Ajdovscina (W) 6–0 ZRD Litija (W) (6 last)

ZRK Ajdovscina (W)36-17ZRD Litija (W)
ZRD Litija (W)23-33ZRK Ajdovscina (W)
ZRK Ajdovscina (W)31-22ZRD Litija (W)
ZRK Ajdovscina (W)27-22ZRD Litija (W)
ZRD Litija (W)27-29ZRK Ajdovscina (W)
ZRD Litija (W)28-34ZRK Ajdovscina (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ZRK Ajdovscina (W) 1590 · ZRD Litija (W) 1459

	ZRK Ajdovscina (W)	ZRD Litija (W)
Our model	76%	24%
Market	97%	1%

Estimated total (ours) 56 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · -1.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56ZRK Ajdovscina (W) 32.2 · ZRD Litija (W) 23.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ZRK Ajdovscina (W) (rating 1590 vs 1459).
ZRK Ajdovscina (W) is a clear favourite (90% market).
H2H favours ZRK Ajdovscina (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	ZRK Ajdovscina (W)	ZRD Litija (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	33.8 / 25	24.3 / 29.7
Points F\|A (Last 5)	35.8 / 24.4	23.8 / 33.2
Est. result	32	24

Est. total56

Line O/U57.5

Diff.1.5

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.00

X67.00

267.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-16.5)1.85

2 (+16.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.85

Under 57.51.85

Diff.: 1.1 · Est. total: 56.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.00 → 1.00	Bet365 1.00
X	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00
2	67.00 → 67.00	Bet365 67.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 2.9%

Time*	1	X	2
08:53 +26’	1.00	67.00	67.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ZRK Ajdovscina (W) 6–0–0 ZRD Litija (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/01/26 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRK Ajdovscina (W)	36-17	ZRD Litija (W)
17/05/25 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRD Litija (W)	23-33	ZRK Ajdovscina (W)
19/04/25 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRK Ajdovscina (W)	31-22	ZRD Litija (W)
11/01/25 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRK Ajdovscina (W)	27-22	ZRD Litija (W)
15/09/24 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRD Litija (W)	27-29	ZRK Ajdovscina (W)
04/10/23 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRD Litija (W)	28-34	ZRK Ajdovscina (W)

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Krim (W)	4	4	0	177	70	8
2	ZRK Ajdovscina (W)	3	3	0	111	72	6
3	ZRK Izola (W)	3	3	0	90	68	6
4	ZRK Krka (W)	3	2	1	88	73	4
5	RK Ljubljana (W)	4	2	2	102	119	4
6	ZRK Velenje (W)	2	1	1	67	61	2
7	ZURD Koper (W)	3	1	2	84	79	2
8	ZRK Ptuj (W)	3	1	2	80	94	2
9	ZRD Litija (W)	3	1	2	64	103	2
10	RK Olimpija (W)	3	0	3	82	92	0
11	ZRK Celje (W)	2	0	2	46	79	0
12	SDRS Vrhnika (W)	3	0	3	52	133	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ZRK Ajdovscina (W)	ZRD Litija (W)
ZRK Ptuj (W)	36-24 W	20-31 L
ZRK Celje (W)	42-18 W	27-35 L
ZRK Izola (W)	35-25 W	24-38 L
RK Krim (W)	26-33 L	12-42 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: ZRK Ajdovscina (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ZRK Ajdovscina (W)

WWLWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	ZRK Ptuj (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	36-24	W
18/09	ZRK Velenje (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	33-30	W
12/09	ZRK Celje (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	42-18	W
23/05	ZURD Koper (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	38-24	W
16/05	ZRK Velenje (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	30-26	W
29/04	RK Ljubljana (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	38-24	W
22/04	ZRK Izola (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	35-25	W
18/04	RK Krim (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	26-33	L
25/03	RK Ljubljana (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	30-27	W
21/03	ZURD Koper (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	30-19	W

ZRD Litija (W)

DWLWLDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/10	ZRK Izola (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	24-38	L
19/09	RK Olimpija (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	28-23	W
09/09	RK Krim (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	12-42	L
22/05	ZRK Celje (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	27-35	L
16/05	ZRK Krka (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	28-28	D
06/05	ZRK Ptuj (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	20-31	L
16/04	SDRS Vrhnika (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	32-25	W
02/04	RK Olimpija (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	17-21	L
28/03	ZRK Celje (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	28-27	W
21/03	ZRK Krka (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	27-27	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ZRK Ajdovscina (W) vs ZRD Litija (W)?

Our model gives 90% to ZRK Ajdovscina (W).

How many points are expected in ZRK Ajdovscina (W) vs ZRD Litija (W)?

The model estimates 56 total points (ZRK Ajdovscina (W) 32.2 · ZRD Litija (W) 23.8).