Handball · Slovenia Prva Liga Women · 11/10, 15:00

Prediction: ZRK Celje (W) vs ZRK Krka (W)

Team pages: ZRK Celje (W) · ZRK Krka (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.1Total

ZRK Celje (W)27.4

ZRK Krka (W)30.7

1X2

21% 79%

ZRK Celje (W) ZRK Krka (W)

Recent form · 10 last

ZRK Celje (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLLWLL

ZRK Krka (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDWLWW

Head-to-head

ZRK Celje (W) 3–3 ZRK Krka (W) (6 last)

ZRK Celje (W)30-35ZRK Krka (W)
ZRK Krka (W)28-26ZRK Celje (W)
ZRK Krka (W)30-26ZRK Celje (W)
ZRK Celje (W)29-24ZRK Krka (W)
ZRK Celje (W)34-24ZRK Krka (W)
ZRK Krka (W)21-31ZRK Celje (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ZRK Celje (W) 1448 · ZRK Krka (W) 1579

	ZRK Celje (W)	ZRK Krka (W)
Our model	41%	59%
Market	8%	87%

Estimated total (ours) 58.1 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.1ZRK Celje (W) 27.4 · ZRK Krka (W) 30.7

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ZRK Krka (W) (rating 1448 vs 1579).
ZRK Krka (W) is a clear favourite (79% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	ZRK Celje (W)	ZRK Krka (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	27.7 / 31.3	31.3 / 26.6
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27 / 33.4	30.2 / 26.2
Est. result	27	31

Est. total58.1

Line O/U58.5

Diff.0.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

112.00

X16.00

21.04

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+8.5)1.85

2 (-8.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · Est. total: 58.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00
X	16.00 → 16.00	Bet365 16.00
2	1.04 → 1.04	Bet365 1.04

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.7%

Time*	1	X	2
11:05 +10’	12.00	16.00	1.04

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · ZRK Celje (W) 3–0–3 ZRK Krka (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRK Celje (W)	30-35	ZRK Krka (W)
28/02/26 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRK Krka (W)	28-26	ZRK Celje (W)
10/01/26 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRK Krka (W)	30-26	ZRK Celje (W)
23/02/24 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRK Celje (W)	29-24	ZRK Krka (W)
11/05/23 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRK Celje (W)	34-24	ZRK Krka (W)
09/12/22 Slovenia Prva Liga Women	ZRK Krka (W)	21-31	ZRK Celje (W)

Standings · Slovenia Prva Liga Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	RK Krim (W)	4	4	0	177	70	8
2	ZRK Ajdovscina (W)	4	4	0	143	91	8
3	ZRK Izola (W)	3	3	0	90	68	6
4	ZURD Koper (W)	4	2	2	118	103	4
5	ZRK Krka (W)	3	2	1	88	73	4
6	RK Ljubljana (W)	4	2	2	102	119	4
7	ZRK Velenje (W)	2	1	1	67	61	2
8	ZRK Ptuj (W)	3	1	2	80	94	2
9	ZRD Litija (W)	4	1	3	83	135	2
10	RK Olimpija (W)	4	0	4	106	126	0
11	ZRK Celje (W)	2	0	2	46	79	0
12	SDRS Vrhnika (W)	3	0	3	52	133	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ZRK Celje (W)	ZRK Krka (W)
ZRD Litija (W)	35-27 W	28-28 D
RK Olimpija (W)	24-26 L	27-24 W
ZRK Ptuj (W)	27-34 L	31-31 D
ZRK Millennium (W)	30-29 W	40-22 W
SDRS Vrhnika (W)	30-31 L	40-16 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: ZRK Krka (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ZRK Celje (W)

WLLWLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/09	ZRK Velenje (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	28-37	L
12/09	ZRK Ajdovscina (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	18-42	L
22/05	ZRD Litija (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	35-27	W
14/05	RK Olimpija (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	24-26	L
25/04	ZRK Krka (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	30-35	L
18/04	ZRK Ptuj (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	27-34	L
15/04	ZRK Millennium (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	30-29	W
01/04	SDRS Vrhnika (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	30-31	L
28/03	ZRD Litija (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	27-28	L
19/03	RK Olimpija (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	28-24	W

ZRK Krka (W)

WWDWWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
03/10	SDRS Vrhnika (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	40-16	W
19/09	ZURD Koper (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	22-20	W
12/09	RK Ljubljana (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	26-37	L
23/05	SDRS Vrhnika (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	35-30	W
16/05	ZRD Litija (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	28-28	D
07/05	RK Olimpija (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	27-24	W
25/04	ZRK Celje (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	35-30	W
15/04	ZRK Ptuj (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	31-31	D
01/04	ZRK Millennium (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	40-22	W
28/03	SDRS Vrhnika (W) Slovenia Prva Liga Women	29-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ZRK Celje (W) vs ZRK Krka (W)?

Our model gives 79% to ZRK Krka (W).

How many points are expected in ZRK Celje (W) vs ZRK Krka (W)?

The model estimates 58.1 total points (ZRK Celje (W) 27.4 · ZRK Krka (W) 30.7).