Handball · Norway 1st Division Women · 01/11, 15:00

Prediction: Stavanger IF (W) vs Kjelsas (W)

Team pages: Stavanger IF (W) · Kjelsas (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.3Total

Stavanger IF (W)30.6

Kjelsas (W)29.7

1X2

60% 40%

Stavanger IF (W) Kjelsas (W)

Markets

Over 56.5 points 65%

Recent form · 10 last

Stavanger IF (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWLLWL

Kjelsas (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWDLL

Head-to-head

Stavanger IF (W) 0–2 Kjelsas (W) (2 last)

Stavanger IF (W)30-31Kjelsas (W)
Kjelsas (W)33-31Stavanger IF (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stavanger IF (W) 1518 · Kjelsas (W) 1464

	Stavanger IF (W)	Kjelsas (W)
Our model	67%	33%
Market	49%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 60.3 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +3.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.3Stavanger IF (W) 30.6 · Kjelsas (W) 29.7

Over / Under 56.5Over · 65%recent trend · ~59 pts · strength 3

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stavanger IF (W) (rating 1518 vs 1464).
H2H favours Kjelsas (W): 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Stavanger IF (W)	Kjelsas (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31 / 32	27.5 / 29.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	27.8 / 31.8	27.8 / 31
Est. result	31	30

Est. total60.3

Line O/U56.5

Diff.3.8

Over / Under65% / 35%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.85

X8.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 3.7 · Est. total: 60.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
01:08 +7’	1.85	8.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stavanger IF (W) 0–0–2 Kjelsas (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
22/04/26 Norway 1st Division Women	Stavanger IF (W)	30-31	Kjelsas (W)
21/12/25 Norway 1st Division Women	Kjelsas (W)	33-31	Stavanger IF (W)

Standings · Norway 1st Division Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aker (W)	7	7	0	0	226	156	14
2	Baekkelaget (W)	8	7	0	1	264	202	14
3	Levanger (W)	7	5	0	2	215	180	10
4	Fyllingen (W)	6	4	0	2	196	178	8
5	Storhamar B (W)	6	4	0	2	170	171	8
6	Baerum Women	6	4	1	1	161	144	7
7	Stavanger IF (W)	6	3	0	3	180	192	6
8	Asane (W)	7	2	1	4	186	193	5
9	Gjovik HK (W)	6	2	1	3	172	184	5
10	Volda (W)	6	1	1	4	154	172	3
11	Kjelsas (W)	6	1	1	4	170	193	3
12	Trondheim TH (W)	7	1	1	5	195	235	3
13	HK Rygge (W)	6	1	0	5	157	193	2
14	Byasen 2 (W)	6	0	0	6	128	181	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Stavanger IF (W)	Kjelsas (W)
HK Rygge (W)	33-29 W	28-16 W
Storhamar B (W)	26-30 L	28-33 L
Levanger (W)	25-40 L	31-33 L
Volda (W)	26-25 W	27-27 D
Asane (W)	41-33 W	25-24 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Stavanger IF (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stavanger IF (W)

WLLWWWLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Baekkelaget (W) Norway 1st Division Women	29-35	L
11/10	HK Rygge (W) Norway 1st Division Women	33-29	W
30/09	Storhamar B (W) Norway 1st Division Women	26-30	L
20/09	Levanger (W) Norway 1st Division Women	25-40	L
10/09	Volda (W) Norway 1st Division Women	26-25	W
06/09	Asane (W) Norway 1st Division Women	41-33	W
26/04	Storhamar B (W) Norway 1st Division Women	36-31	W
22/04	Kjelsas (W) Norway 1st Division Women	30-31	L
16/04	Aker (W) Norway 1st Division Women	35-40	L
29/03	Baekkelaget (W) Norway 1st Division Women	29-26	W

Kjelsas (W)

WLWLLLWDLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
18/10	Storhamar B (W) Norway 1st Division Women	28-33	L
07/10	Levanger (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-33	L
30/09	Volda (W) Norway 1st Division Women	27-27	D
20/09	Asane (W) Norway 1st Division Women	25-24	W
13/09	Gjovik HK (W) Norway 1st Division Women	28-38	L
30/08	Fyllingen (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-38	L
13/05	Fyllingen (W) Norway 1st Division Women	24-29	L
03/05	HK Rygge (W) Norway 1st Division Women	28-16	W
26/04	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway 1st Division Women	22-31	L
22/04	Stavanger IF (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-30	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stavanger IF (W) vs Kjelsas (W)?

Our model gives 60% to Stavanger IF (W).

How many points are expected in Stavanger IF (W) vs Kjelsas (W)?

The model estimates 60.3 total points (Stavanger IF (W) 30.6 · Kjelsas (W) 29.7).

Over or under 56.5 points?

Recent history points to over 56.5 points (65%).