Handball · Norway 1st Division Women · 08/11, 16:00

Prediction: Kjelsas (W) vs Baekkelaget (W)

Team pages: Kjelsas (W) · Baekkelaget (W)

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Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.7Total

Kjelsas (W)27.2

Baekkelaget (W)32.5

1X2

29% 71%

Kjelsas (W) Baekkelaget (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Kjelsas (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWDLLW

Baekkelaget (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LLWWWLWWWW

Head-to-head

Kjelsas (W) 0–2 Baekkelaget (W) (2 last)

Kjelsas (W)23-32Baekkelaget (W)
Baekkelaget (W)47-32Kjelsas (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kjelsas (W) 1457 · Baekkelaget (W) 1579

	Kjelsas (W)	Baekkelaget (W)
Our model	43%	57%
Market	18%	73%

Estimated total (ours) 59.7 points · Bet365 line 60.5 · -0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.7Kjelsas (W) 27.2 · Baekkelaget (W) 32.5

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Baekkelaget (W) (rating 1457 vs 1579).
Baekkelaget (W) is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Baekkelaget (W): 2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Kjelsas (W)	Baekkelaget (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.1 / 30.5	32.8 / 27.2
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.6 / 30.6	35.4 / 26.8
Est. result	27	33

Est. total59.7

Line O/U60.5

Diff.0.8

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

15.00

X10.00

21.22

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+4.5)1.85

2 (-4.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 60.51.75

Under 60.51.95

Diff.: 1.2 · Est. total: 59.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	10.00 → 10.00	Bet365 10.00
2	1.22 → 1.22	Bet365 1.22

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
12:46 +31’	5.00	10.00	1.22

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kjelsas (W) 0–0–2 Baekkelaget (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/03/26 Norway 1st Division Women	Kjelsas (W)	23-32	Baekkelaget (W)
08/11/25 Norway 1st Division Women	Baekkelaget (W)	47-32	Kjelsas (W)

Standings · Norway 1st Division Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Aker (W)	8	8	0	0	268	189	16
2	Baekkelaget (W)	8	7	0	1	264	202	14
3	Storhamar B (W)	7	5	0	2	201	199	10
4	Fyllingen (W)	8	5	0	3	252	231	10
5	Levanger (W)	7	5	0	2	215	180	10
6	Baerum Women	7	4	1	2	189	175	7
7	Asane (W)	8	3	1	4	211	213	7
8	Stavanger IF (W)	8	3	0	5	249	271	6
9	Gjovik HK (W)	8	2	1	5	223	254	5
10	Volda (W)	7	2	1	4	187	200	5
11	Kjelsas (W)	7	2	1	4	207	229	5
12	HK Rygge (W)	7	2	0	5	191	216	4
13	Trondheim TH (W)	8	1	1	6	223	268	3
14	Byasen 2 (W)	6	0	0	6	128	181	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kjelsas (W)	Baekkelaget (W)
Stavanger IF (W)	37-36 W	35-29 W
Storhamar B (W)	28-33 L	35-24 W
Levanger (W)	31-33 L	24-27 L
Volda (W)	27-27 D	31-25 W
Asane (W)	25-24 W	21-18 W
Gjovik HK (W)	28-38 L	35-25 W
HK Rygge (W)	28-16 W	42-26 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	6 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Baekkelaget (W) (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kjelsas (W)

LWLLLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
01/11	Stavanger IF (W) Norway 1st Division Women	37-36	W
18/10	Storhamar B (W) Norway 1st Division Women	28-33	L
07/10	Levanger (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-33	L
30/09	Volda (W) Norway 1st Division Women	27-27	D
20/09	Asane (W) Norway 1st Division Women	25-24	W
13/09	Gjovik HK (W) Norway 1st Division Women	28-38	L
30/08	Fyllingen (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-38	L
13/05	Fyllingen (W) Norway 1st Division Women	24-29	L
03/05	HK Rygge (W) Norway 1st Division Women	28-16	W
26/04	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway 1st Division Women	22-31	L

Baekkelaget (W)

LLWWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/10	HK Rygge (W) Norway 1st Division Women	42-26	W
27/10	Trondheim TH (W) Norway 1st Division Women	41-28	W
17/10	Stavanger IF (W) Norway 1st Division Women	35-29	W
10/10	Storhamar B (W) Norway 1st Division Women	35-24	W
03/10	Levanger (W) Norway 1st Division Women	24-27	L
20/09	Volda (W) Norway 1st Division Women	31-25	W
12/09	Asane (W) Norway 1st Division Women	21-18	W
30/08	Gjovik HK (W) Norway 1st Division Women	35-25	W
26/04	Trondheim TH (W) Norway 1st Division Women	34-39	L
19/04	Volda (W) Norway 1st Division Women	30-31	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kjelsas (W) vs Baekkelaget (W)?

Our model gives 71% to Baekkelaget (W).

How many points are expected in Kjelsas (W) vs Baekkelaget (W)?

The model estimates 59.7 total points (Kjelsas (W) 27.2 · Baekkelaget (W) 32.5).