Handball · Germany 2 Bundesliga · 30/10, 20:00

Prediction: TuSEM Essen vs HSC 2000 Coburg

Team pages: TuSEM Essen · HSC 2000 Coburg

Prediction summary

Estimated points

60.6Total

TuSEM Essen30.7

HSC 2000 Coburg29.9

1X2

63% 37%

TuSEM Essen HSC 2000 Coburg

Recent form · 10 last

TuSEM Essen 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLLLWW

HSC 2000 Coburg 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWDDDLLL

Head-to-head

TuSEM Essen 2–4 HSC 2000 Coburg (6 last)

TuSEM Essen37-28HSC 2000 Coburg
HSC 2000 Coburg32-25TuSEM Essen
TuSEM Essen29-23HSC 2000 Coburg
HSC 2000 Coburg30-25TuSEM Essen
TuSEM Essen27-31HSC 2000 Coburg
HSC 2000 Coburg28-23TuSEM Essen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TuSEM Essen 1454 · HSC 2000 Coburg 1436

	TuSEM Essen	HSC 2000 Coburg
Our model	62%	38%
Market	56%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 60.6 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points60.6TuSEM Essen 30.7 · HSC 2000 Coburg 29.9

Match keys

H2H favours HSC 2000 Coburg: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	TuSEM Essen	HSC 2000 Coburg
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.5 / 32.8	27.4 / 31
Points F\|A (Last 5)	31 / 31.8	26.2 / 30.2
Est. result	31	30

Est. total60.6

Line O/U61.5

Diff.0.9

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.60

X8.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.85

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 0.65 · Est. total: 60.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:42 +33’	1.60	8.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TuSEM Essen 2–0–4 HSC 2000 Coburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuSEM Essen	37-28	HSC 2000 Coburg
07/12/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSC 2000 Coburg	32-25	TuSEM Essen
21/02/25 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuSEM Essen	29-23	HSC 2000 Coburg
20/09/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSC 2000 Coburg	30-25	TuSEM Essen
19/04/24 Germany 2 Bundesliga	TuSEM Essen	27-31	HSC 2000 Coburg
17/11/23 Germany 2 Bundesliga	HSC 2000 Coburg	28-23	TuSEM Essen

Standings · Germany 2 Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HC Elbflorenz 2006	9	8	0	1	331	260	16
2	VFL Bad Schwartau	9	7	0	2	299	256	14
3	VfL Eintracht Hagen	9	7	0	2	292	250	14
4	SC DHFK Leipzig	9	7	0	2	291	272	14
5	1. Vfl Potsdam	9	7	0	2	266	249	14
6	TSV GWD Minden	9	5	1	3	281	253	11
7	TSV Bayer Dormagen	9	5	0	4	262	281	10
8	TV Grosswallstadt	9	4	1	4	277	276	9
9	TuS N-Lubbecke	9	4	1	4	251	267	9
10	TUS Ferndorf	9	4	0	5	269	271	8
11	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	9	3	2	4	273	275	8
12	TV 05/07 Huttenberg	9	3	0	6	286	289	6
13	Dessau-Rosslauer HV 06	9	3	0	6	287	302	6
14	TV Emsdetten	9	2	1	6	272	283	5
15	TuSEM Essen	9	2	1	6	270	295	5
16	HSC 2000 Coburg	9	1	3	5	242	278	5
17	Die Eulen Ludwigshafen	9	2	0	7	235	276	4
18	ASV Hamm-Westfalen	9	2	0	7	247	298	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TuSEM Essen	HSC 2000 Coburg
TuS N-Lubbecke	28-32 L	26-26 D
TSV Bayer Dormagen	26-28 L	29-30 L
HC Elbflorenz 2006	26-42 L	20-30 L
TSV GWD Minden	34-34 D	24-33 L
HSG Nordhorn-Lingen	29-32 L	31-31 D
TUS Ferndorf	35-33 W	31-30 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: HSC 2000 Coburg (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TuSEM Essen

WLDLLLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
24/10	TV 05/07 Huttenberg Germany 2 Bundesliga	33-30	W
19/10	TV Emsdetten Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-25	W
09/10	ASV Hamm-Westfalen Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-37	L
02/10	SC DHFK Leipzig Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-35	L
27/09	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	28-32	L
18/09	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-28	L
11/09	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-42	L
06/09	TSV GWD Minden Germany 2 Bundesliga	34-34	D
30/08	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-32	L
06/06	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	35-33	W

HSC 2000 Coburg

DLLWDDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
23/10	TSV GWD Minden Germany 2 Bundesliga	24-33	L
17/10	TSV Bayer Dormagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	29-30	L
10/10	HC Elbflorenz 2006 Germany 2 Bundesliga	20-30	L
02/10	TuS N-Lubbecke Germany 2 Bundesliga	26-26	D
26/09	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-32	D
18/09	HSG Nordhorn-Lingen Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-31	D
12/09	TUS Ferndorf Germany 2 Bundesliga	31-30	W
06/09	VfL Eintracht Hagen Germany 2 Bundesliga	19-35	L
29/08	1. Vfl Potsdam Germany 2 Bundesliga	30-31	L
06/06	TV Grosswallstadt Germany 2 Bundesliga	32-32	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TuSEM Essen vs HSC 2000 Coburg?

Our model gives 63% to TuSEM Essen.

How many points are expected in TuSEM Essen vs HSC 2000 Coburg?

The model estimates 60.6 total points (TuSEM Essen 30.7 · HSC 2000 Coburg 29.9).