Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 17/10, 17:00
Prediction: Sandefjord vs Follo
Team pages: Sandefjord · Follo
Prediction summary
Estimated points
62.3Total
Sandefjord31.9
Follo30.4
1X2
Sandefjord
Follo
Recent form · 10 last
Sandefjord
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Follo
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sandefjord
3–1–2
Follo
(6 last)
- Sandefjord41-31Follo
- Follo35-26Sandefjord
- Follo30-31Sandefjord
- Follo29-32Sandefjord
- Sandefjord23-23Follo
- Follo30-23Sandefjord
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sandefjord 1567 · Follo 1472
| Sandefjord | Follo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 28% |
| Market | 58% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
62.3 points · Bet365 line 59.5 · +2.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
Estimated points62.3Sandefjord 31.9 · Follo 30.4
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sandefjord (rating 1567 vs 1472).
- Sandefjord is a clear favourite (68% market).
- H2H favours Sandefjord: 3-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
| Sandefjord | Follo | |
|---|---|---|
| Points F|A (Last 10) | 31.6 / 32.2 | 28.9 / 30 |
| Points F|A (Last 5) | 33.4 / 33 | 26.8 / 29.2 |
| Est. result | 32 | 30 |
Est. total62.3
Line O/U59.5
Diff.2.8
The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sandefjord 3–1–2 Follo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/26 Norway Eliteserien | Sandefjord | 41-31 | Follo |
| 04/10/25 Norway Eliteserien | Follo | 35-26 | Sandefjord |
| 07/08/25 Club Friendlies | Follo | 30-31 | Sandefjord |
| 08/08/24 Club Friendlies | Follo | 29-32 | Sandefjord |
| 07/04/24 Norway 1st Division | Sandefjord | 23-23 | Follo |
| 09/12/23 Norway 1st Division | Follo | 30-23 | Sandefjord |
Standings · Norway Eliteserien
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elverum | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 164 | 12 |
| 2 | Runar Sandefjord | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 236 | 190 | 12 |
| 3 | Kolstad | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 223 | 186 | 9 |
| 4 | Sandefjord | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 165 | 8 |
| 5 | Nærbø IL | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 239 | 232 | 8 |
| 6 | Kristiansand | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 198 | 196 | 7 |
| 7 | Follo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 161 | 168 | 7 |
| 8 | Fjellhammer | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 167 | 164 | 5 |
| 9 | Bergen Handball | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 171 | 180 | 4 |
| 10 | OIF Arendal | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 145 | 140 | 4 |
| 11 | Viking TIF | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 170 | 212 | 4 |
| 12 | Drammen | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 158 | 171 | 4 |
| 13 | Bergsoy | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 164 | 197 | 2 |
| 14 | Sandnes | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 174 | 219 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sandefjord | Follo |
|---|---|---|
| Fjellhammer | 27-36 L | 32-33 L |
| Nærbø IL | 36-34 W | 25-23 W |
| Kristiansand | 31-30 W | 32-36 L |
| OIF Arendal | 32-30 W | 29-33 L |
| Sandnes | 28-34 L | 27-22 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sandefjord
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien |
27-36 | L |
| 27/09 | Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien |
34-29 | W |
| 20/09 | Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien |
36-34 | W |
| 13/09 | Bergsoy Norway Eliteserien |
39-36 | W |
| 06/09 | Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien |
31-30 | W |
| 21/04 | Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien |
31-37 | L |
| 15/04 | Bergen Handball Norway Eliteserien |
26-34 | L |
| 11/04 | Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien |
32-22 | W |
| 08/04 | OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien |
32-30 | W |
| 15/03 | Sandnes Norway Eliteserien |
28-34 | L |
Follo
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| Date | Opponent | FT | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien |
25-23 | W |
| 26/09 | Kolstad Norway Eliteserien |
30-30 | D |
| 19/09 | Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien |
22-33 | L |
| 13/09 | Drammen Norway Eliteserien |
28-27 | W |
| 06/09 | OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien |
29-33 | L |
| 30/08 | Sandnes Norway Eliteserien |
27-22 | W |
| 11/04 | Drammen Norway Eliteserien |
30-32 | L |
| 08/04 | Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien |
34-31 | W |
| 28/03 | Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien |
32-36 | L |
| 15/03 | Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien |
32-33 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sandefjord vs Follo?
Our model gives 68% to Sandefjord.
How many points are expected in Sandefjord vs Follo?
The model estimates 62.3 total points (Sandefjord 31.9 · Follo 30.4).