Handball · Norway Eliteserien · 25/10, 18:00

Prediction: Follo vs Kristiansand

Team pages: Follo · Kristiansand

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.3Total

Follo29.3

Kristiansand30

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

49% 51%

Follo Kristiansand

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Markets

Under 61.5 points 80%

Recent form · 10 last

Follo 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWLDWL

Kristiansand 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDLWWW

Head-to-head

Follo 4–2 Kristiansand (6 last)

Follo32-36Kristiansand
Kristiansand31-30Follo
Follo32-27Kristiansand
Kristiansand35-36Follo
Kristiansand23-37Follo
Follo33-28Kristiansand

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Follo 1480 · Kristiansand 1503

	Follo	Kristiansand
Our model	57%	43%
Market	40%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 59.3 points · Bet365 line 61.5 · -2.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.3Follo 29.3 · Kristiansand 30

Match keys

H2H favours Follo: 4-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Follo	Kristiansand
Points F\|A (Last 10)	28.2 / 29.9	28.8 / 29.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	26 / 29	28.6 / 26.8
Est. result	29	30

Est. total59.3

Line O/U61.5

Diff.2.2

Over / Under20% / 80%

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

12.30

X8.00

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 61.51.85

Under 61.51.85

Diff.: 3.1 · Est. total: 58.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 1.52▼	Bet365 1.52
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.85 → 3.10▲	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
11:02 +24’	2.30	8.00	1.85
11:06 +10’	1.95▼	8.00	2.15▲
15:18 +1’	1.52▼	8.00	3.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 2 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Follo 4–0–2 Kristiansand

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	32-36	Kristiansand
16/11/25 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansand	31-30	Follo
05/02/25 Norway Eliteserien	Follo	32-27	Kristiansand
20/10/24 Norway Eliteserien	Kristiansand	35-36	Follo
05/12/20 Norway 1st Division	Kristiansand	23-37	Follo
16/09/20 Norway 1st Division	Follo	33-28	Kristiansand

Standings · Norway Eliteserien

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Elverum	8	8	0	0	282	214	16
2	Runar Sandefjord	8	7	0	1	268	220	14
3	Sandefjord	7	5	0	2	229	222	10
4	Kolstad	8	5	1	2	248	223	9
5	Nærbø IL	8	4	0	4	239	232	8
6	Fjellhammer	7	3	1	3	196	186	7
7	Kristiansand	7	3	1	3	198	196	7
8	Follo	7	3	1	3	186	200	7
9	OIF Arendal	7	3	0	4	204	199	6
10	Viking TIF	7	3	0	4	203	238	6
11	Bergen Handball	7	2	0	5	193	209	4
12	Drammen	7	2	0	5	184	204	4
13	Bergsoy	7	1	0	6	189	231	2
14	Sandnes	7	0	0	7	174	219	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Follo	Kristiansand
Sandefjord	25-32 L	30-31 L
Nærbø IL	25-23 W	25-31 L
Drammen	28-27 W	30-27 W
OIF Arendal	29-33 L	27-23 W
Sandnes	27-22 W	32-22 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kristiansand (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Follo

LWLWLWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
17/10	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	25-32	L
04/10	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	25-23	W
26/09	Kolstad Norway Eliteserien	30-30	D
19/09	Runar Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	22-33	L
13/09	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	28-27	W
06/09	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	29-33	L
30/08	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	27-22	W
11/04	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	30-32	L
08/04	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	34-31	W
28/03	Kristiansand Norway Eliteserien	32-36	L

Kristiansand

WLLLLDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Drammen Norway Eliteserien	30-27	W
04/10	OIF Arendal Norway Eliteserien	27-23	W
26/09	Sandnes Norway Eliteserien	32-22	W
19/09	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	24-32	L
12/09	Fjellhammer Norway Eliteserien	30-30	D
06/09	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	30-31	L
29/08	Nærbø IL Norway Eliteserien	25-31	L
11/04	Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien	22-32	L
03/04	Elverum Norway Eliteserien	32-39	L
28/03	Follo Norway Eliteserien	36-32	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Follo vs Kristiansand?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Follo 49% · Kristiansand 51%).

How many points are expected in Follo vs Kristiansand?

The model estimates 59.3 total points (Follo 29.3 · Kristiansand 30).