Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 30/08, 17:00

Prediction: Sola (W) vs Fredrikstad (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.8Total

Sola (W)30.1

Fredrikstad (W)26.8

1X2

80% 20%

Sola (W) Fredrikstad (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Sola (W) 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWLWL

Fredrikstad (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLWDLL

Head-to-head

Sola (W) 5–1 Fredrikstad (W) (6 last)

Sola (W)36-29Fredrikstad (W)
Fredrikstad (W)25-28Sola (W)
Fredrikstad (W)35-40Sola (W)
Sola (W)29-21Fredrikstad (W)
Sola (W)28-32Fredrikstad (W)
Fredrikstad (W)21-37Sola (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sola (W) 1582 · Fredrikstad (W) 1524

	Sola (W)	Fredrikstad (W)
Our model	68%	32%
Market	83%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 56.8 points · Bet365 line 56.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.8Sola (W) 30.1 · Fredrikstad (W) 26.8

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sola (W) (rating 1582 vs 1524).
Sola (W) is a clear favourite (80% market).
H2H favours Sola (W): 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Sola (W)	Fredrikstad (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	30.6 / 25.7	28.1 / 27.5
Points F\|A (Last 5)	29.8 / 28	28.8 / 29
Est. result	30	27

Est. total56.8

Line O/U56.5

Diff.0.3

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.09

X13.00

28.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-6.5)1.85

2 (+6.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 56.51.85

Under 56.51.85

Diff.: 0.55 · Est. total: 55.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:49

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.09 → 1.09	Bet365 1.09
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:41 +8’	1.09	13.00	8.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sola (W) 5–0–1 Fredrikstad (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/02/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Sola (W)	36-29	Fredrikstad (W)
01/10/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Fredrikstad (W)	25-28	Sola (W)
05/04/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Fredrikstad (W)	35-40	Sola (W)
18/09/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Sola (W)	29-21	Fredrikstad (W)
18/08/24 Club Friendlies Women	Sola (W)	28-32	Fredrikstad (W)
27/04/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Fredrikstad (W)	21-37	Sola (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Storhamar (W)	1	1	0	35	18	2
2	Byasen (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Fana (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Fjellhammer (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Flint Tonsberg (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Follo HK (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Fredrikstad (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Larvik (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Molde (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Oppsal (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Sola (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Tertnes (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Utleira (W)	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Gjerpen (W)	1	0	1	18	35	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sola (W)	Fredrikstad (W)
Storhamar (W)	23-28 L	28-30 L
Molde (W)	29-28 W	30-30 D
Gjerpen (W)	34-27 W	29-26 W
Baerum Women	36-24 W	35-19 W
Larvik (W)	28-27 W	27-37 L
Byasen (W)	27-18 W	21-29 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sola (W) (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sola (W)

WWWWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
31/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	23-28	L
28/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-26	W
22/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-31	L
14/05	Molde (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-28	W
11/05	Molde (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	39-27	W
03/05	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	34-27	W
29/04	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	32-21	W
22/04	Baerum Women Norway Eliteserien Women	36-24	W
16/04	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-27	W
26/03	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-18	W

Fredrikstad (W)

WLWLWLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
04/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-30	L
29/04	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	24-31	L
22/04	Molde (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-30	D
16/04	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-17	W
28/03	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-37	L
22/03	Baerum Women Norway Eliteserien Women	35-19	W
18/03	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	21-29	L
12/03	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-23	W
01/03	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-33	L
22/02	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-26	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sola (W) vs Fredrikstad (W)?

Our model gives 80% to Sola (W).

How many points are expected in Sola (W) vs Fredrikstad (W)?

The model estimates 56.8 total points (Sola (W) 30.1 · Fredrikstad (W) 26.8).