Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 02/09, 18:00

Prediction: Follo HK (W) vs Larvik (W)

Team pages: Follo HK (W) · Larvik (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

59.9Total

Follo HK (W)28.3

Larvik (W)31.6

1X2

38% 62%

Follo HK (W) Larvik (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Follo HK (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLDLWL

Larvik (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLWWWLLW

Head-to-head

Follo HK (W) 0–6 Larvik (W) (6 last)

Follo HK (W)26-31Larvik (W)
Larvik (W)33-26Follo HK (W)
Follo HK (W)18-34Larvik (W)
Larvik (W)39-26Follo HK (W)
Larvik (W)32-23Follo HK (W)
Follo HK (W)25-29Larvik (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Follo HK (W) 1521 · Larvik (W) 1560

	Follo HK (W)	Larvik (W)
Our model	54%	46%
Market	24%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 59.9 points · Bet365 line 54.5 · +5.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points59.9Follo HK (W) 28.3 · Larvik (W) 31.6

Match keys

H2H favours Larvik (W): 6-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Follo HK (W)	Larvik (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	26.4 / 31.2	32 / 29
Points F\|A (Last 5)	25.6 / 29.2	29.4 / 27.4
Est. result	28	32

Est. total59.9

Line O/U54.5

Diff.5.4

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

13.80

X8.50

21.37

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.95

2 (-2.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 54.51.85

Under 54.51.85

Diff.: 4.8 · Est. total: 59.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
X	8.50 → 8.50	Bet365 8.50
2	1.37 → 1.37	Bet365 1.37

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:13 +34’	3.80	8.50	1.37

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Follo HK (W) 0–0–6 Larvik (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/02/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Follo HK (W)	26-31	Larvik (W)
12/11/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Larvik (W)	33-26	Follo HK (W)
30/03/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Follo HK (W)	18-34	Larvik (W)
15/01/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Larvik (W)	39-26	Follo HK (W)
18/04/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Larvik (W)	32-23	Follo HK (W)
05/11/23 Norway Eliteserien Women	Follo HK (W)	25-29	Larvik (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Storhamar (W)	2	2	0	63	39	4
2	Sola (W)	1	1	0	33	20	2
3	Tertnes (W)	1	1	0	36	24	2
4	Byasen (W)	1	1	0	27	17	2
5	Larvik (W)	1	1	0	31	23	2
6	Molde (W)	1	1	0	26	23	2
7	Gjerpen (W)	2	1	1	48	64	2
8	Flint Tonsberg (W)	1	0	1	29	30	0
9	Fjellhammer (W)	1	0	1	23	26	0
10	Follo HK (W)	1	0	1	21	28	0
11	Fana (W)	1	0	1	23	31	0
12	Utleira (W)	1	0	1	17	27	0
13	Oppsal (W)	1	0	1	24	36	0
14	Fredrikstad (W)	1	0	1	20	33	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Follo HK (W)	Larvik (W)
Storhamar (W)	21-28 L	28-30 L
Oppsal (W)	28-25 W	34-32 W
Tertnes (W)	30-35 L	36-27 W
Sola (W)	27-45 L	27-28 L
Romerike Ravens (W)	34-26 W	41-30 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Larvik (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Follo HK (W)

WLLLWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	21-28	L
22/04	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-25	W
15/04	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-35	L
29/03	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-26	D
22/03	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	23-32	L
15/03	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-25	W
11/03	Molde (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	20-39	L
01/03	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-45	L
25/02	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-31	L
15/02	Romerike Ravens (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	34-26	W

Larvik (W)

WLWLWWWLLW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
30/08	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-23	W
15/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-30	L
12/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	22-32	L
03/05	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	36-27	W
29/04	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-25	W
22/04	Romerike Ravens (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	41-30	W
16/04	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-28	L
28/03	Fredrikstad (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	37-27	W
25/03	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	34-36	L
18/03	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	34-32	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Follo HK (W) vs Larvik (W)?

Our model gives 62% to Larvik (W).

How many points are expected in Follo HK (W) vs Larvik (W)?

The model estimates 59.9 total points (Follo HK (W) 28.3 · Larvik (W) 31.6).