Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 30/09, 18:15

Prediction: Larvik (W) vs Storhamar (W)

Team pages: Larvik (W) · Storhamar (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

56.8Total

Larvik (W)28.6

Storhamar (W)28.2

1X2 Even — no clear favourite

26% 74%

Larvik (W) Storhamar (W)

The bar shows the win probability, but the expected points are almost even: the model does not lean clearly on either side.

Recent form · 10 last

Larvik (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWWWW

Storhamar (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Larvik (W) 2–1–3 Storhamar (W) (6 last)

Larvik (W)28-30Storhamar (W)
Storhamar (W)32-22Larvik (W)
Larvik (W)25-31Storhamar (W)
Larvik (W)29-29Storhamar (W)
Storhamar (W)27-31Larvik (W)
Larvik (W)32-18Storhamar (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Larvik (W) 1553 · Storhamar (W) 1634

	Larvik (W)	Storhamar (W)
Our model	48%	52%
Market	10%	83%

Estimated total (ours) 56.8 points · Bet365 line 58.5 · -1.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points56.8Larvik (W) 28.6 · Storhamar (W) 28.2

Match keys

H2H favours Storhamar (W): 3-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Larvik (W)	Storhamar (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	31.9 / 27.4	29.4 / 23.9
Points F\|A (Last 5)	32.6 / 26.4	29 / 20.6
Est. result	29	28

Est. total56.8

Line O/U58.5

Diff.1.7

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

19.00

X13.00

21.08

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+6.5)1.90

2 (-6.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 58.51.85

Under 58.51.85

Diff.: 2.2 · Est. total: 56.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00
X	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
2	1.08 → 1.08	Bet365 1.08

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
22:15 +2’	9.00	13.00	1.08

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Larvik (W) 2–1–3 Storhamar (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Larvik (W)	28-30	Storhamar (W)
12/05/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Storhamar (W)	32-22	Larvik (W)
31/01/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Larvik (W)	25-31	Storhamar (W)
28/12/25 Norway Cup Women	Larvik (W)	29-29	Storhamar (W)
10/09/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Storhamar (W)	27-31	Larvik (W)
16/08/25 Club Friendlies Women	Larvik (W)	32-18	Storhamar (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tertnes (W)	4	4	0	0	142	105	8
2	Storhamar (W)	4	4	0	0	117	80	8
3	Larvik (W)	4	4	0	0	135	102	8
4	Sola (W)	3	3	0	0	97	64	6
5	Molde (W)	4	3	0	1	119	98	6
6	Byasen (W)	4	2	0	2	104	100	4
7	Fjellhammer (W)	4	1	1	2	107	110	3
8	Fredrikstad (W)	3	1	1	1	87	90	3
9	Gjerpen (W)	3	1	0	2	64	86	2
10	Oppsal (W)	4	1	0	3	104	129	2
11	Follo HK (W)	4	1	0	3	107	136	2
12	Fana (W)	3	0	0	3	70	93	0
13	Flint Tonsberg (W)	4	0	0	4	108	136	0
14	Utleira (W)	4	0	0	4	82	114	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Larvik (W)	Storhamar (W)
Byasen (W)	39-34 W	28-21 W
Utleira (W)	25-21 W	26-20 W
Follo HK (W)	40-24 W	28-21 W
Sola (W)	27-28 L	28-23 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Storhamar (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Larvik (W)

LWWWLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
20/09	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	39-34	W
10/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-21	W
02/09	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	40-24	W
30/08	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-23	W
15/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-30	L
12/05	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	22-32	L
03/05	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	36-27	W
29/04	Tertnes (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-25	W
22/04	Raelingen HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	41-30	W
16/04	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-28	L

Storhamar (W)

WWWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
08/09	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-21	W
02/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-20	W
30/08	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-21	W
26/08	Gjerpen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	35-18	W
31/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-23	W
28/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	26-29	L
22/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-29	W
15/05	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-28	W
12/05	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	32-22	W
04/05	Fredrikstad (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-28	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Larvik (W) vs Storhamar (W)?

Our model does not see a clear favourite: the match is very even (Larvik (W) 26% · Storhamar (W) 74%).

How many points are expected in Larvik (W) vs Storhamar (W)?

The model estimates 56.8 total points (Larvik (W) 28.6 · Storhamar (W) 28.2).