Handball · Norway Eliteserien Women · 01/11, 18:00

Prediction: Tertnes (W) vs Gjerpen (W)

Team pages: Tertnes (W) · Gjerpen (W)

Prediction summary

Estimated points

58.6Total

Tertnes (W)31.2

Gjerpen (W)27.4

1X2

76% 24%

Tertnes (W) Gjerpen (W)

Recent form · 10 last

Tertnes (W) 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWLL

Gjerpen (W) 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLWLLLLW

Head-to-head

Tertnes (W) 3–3 Gjerpen (W) (6 last)

Tertnes (W)24-28Gjerpen (W)
Gjerpen (W)24-26Tertnes (W)
Tertnes (W)33-25Gjerpen (W)
Gjerpen (W)35-30Tertnes (W)
Tertnes (W)29-27Gjerpen (W)
Gjerpen (W)28-26Tertnes (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tertnes (W) 1528 · Gjerpen (W) 1448

	Tertnes (W)	Gjerpen (W)
Our model	70%	30%
Market	72%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 58.6 points · Bet365 line 57.5 · +1.1

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points58.6Tertnes (W) 31.2 · Gjerpen (W) 27.4

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tertnes (W) (rating 1528 vs 1448).
Tertnes (W) is a clear favourite (76% market).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Tertnes (W)	Gjerpen (W)
Points F\|A (Last 10)	32.1 / 30.5	25.7 / 29.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	34.8 / 31	25.6 / 30
Est. result	31	27

Est. total58.6

Line O/U57.5

Diff.1.1

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Odds Bet365

11.25

X9.50

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.95

2 (+4.5)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 57.51.80

Under 57.51.90

Diff.: 1.55 · Est. total: 59.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.22 → 1.25▲	Bet365 1.25
X	10.00 → 9.50▼	Bet365 9.50
2	5.50 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:24 +6’	1.22	10.00	5.50
00:33 +44’	1.25▲	9.50▼	4.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tertnes (W) 3–0–3 Gjerpen (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Tertnes (W)	24-28	Gjerpen (W)
07/01/26 Norway Eliteserien Women	Gjerpen (W)	24-26	Tertnes (W)
02/04/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Tertnes (W)	33-25	Gjerpen (W)
15/01/25 Norway Eliteserien Women	Gjerpen (W)	35-30	Tertnes (W)
18/02/24 Norway Eliteserien Women	Tertnes (W)	29-27	Gjerpen (W)
08/10/23 Norway Eliteserien Women	Gjerpen (W)	28-26	Tertnes (W)

Standings · Norway Eliteserien Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Larvik (W)	7	7	0	0	235	186	14
2	Sola (W)	6	5	1	0	189	150	11
3	Fredrikstad (W)	7	5	1	1	216	199	11
4	Storhamar (W)	7	5	0	2	195	155	10
5	Molde (W)	7	5	0	2	198	166	10
6	Tertnes (W)	7	5	0	2	241	206	10
7	Fjellhammer (W)	7	3	2	2	208	198	8
8	Byasen (W)	7	3	1	3	184	189	7
9	Follo HK (W)	7	2	0	5	196	234	4
10	Gjerpen (W)	7	2	0	5	176	214	4
11	Fana (W)	6	1	1	4	161	180	3
12	Utleira (W)	7	1	0	6	160	198	2
13	Oppsal (W)	7	1	0	6	183	227	2
14	Flint Tonsberg (W)	7	0	0	7	183	223	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tertnes (W)	Gjerpen (W)
Larvik (W)	34-38 L	25-35 L
Storhamar (W)	27-35 L	18-35 L
Byasen (W)	38-28 W	16-22 L
Oppsal (W)	36-24 W	29-27 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Tertnes (W) (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tertnes (W)

LLLWWWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
15/10	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	34-38	L
07/10	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-35	L
30/09	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	38-28	W
20/09	Utleira (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	36-24	W
10/09	Follo HK (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	39-30	W
06/09	Fana (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	31-27	W
30/08	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	36-24	W
03/05	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-36	L
29/04	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-30	L
22/04	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-33	L

Gjerpen (W)

WLLLWLLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
14/10	Oppsal (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	29-27	W
07/10	Larvik (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	25-35	L
04/10	Fjellhammer (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	28-31	L
30/09	Fredrikstad (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-35	L
02/09	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	16-22	L
30/08	Flint Tonsberg (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	30-29	W
26/08	Storhamar (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	18-35	L
03/05	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	27-34	L
29/04	Sola (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	21-32	L
22/04	Byasen (W) Norway Eliteserien Women	33-18	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tertnes (W) vs Gjerpen (W)?

Our model gives 76% to Tertnes (W).

How many points are expected in Tertnes (W) vs Gjerpen (W)?

The model estimates 58.6 total points (Tertnes (W) 31.2 · Gjerpen (W) 27.4).