Football · Indonesia Liga Nusantara · 14/11, 09:30
Prediction: Persekabpas Pasuruan vs Persinab Sang Maestro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Persekabpas Pasuruan1.32
Persinab Sang Maestro0.9
1X2
Persekabpas Pasuruan
Draw
Persinab Sang Maestro
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Persekabpas Pasuruan
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Persinab Sang Maestro
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Persekabpas Pasuruan 1455 · Persinab Sang Maestro 1544
| Persekabpas Pasuruan | Draw | Persinab Sang Maestro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 31% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Persinab Sang Maestro (rating 1455 vs 1544).
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Persekabpas Pasuruan | Persinab Sang Maestro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 2.5 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Persekabpas Pasuruan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01 | RANS Nusantara Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/01 | Waanal Brothers FC Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 17/01 | Persebata Lembata Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 12/01 | Perseden Denpasar Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 08/01 | Gresik United Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 04/01 | Persiba Bantul Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 30/12 | Waanal Brothers FC Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 27/12 | Persebata Lembata Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 23/12 | Perseden Denpasar Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/12 | Gresik United Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Persinab Sang Maestro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01 | RANS Nusantara Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/01 | RANS Nusantara Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 15/01 | Persikutim United Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 03/01 | Persibo Bojonegoro Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/12 | RANS Nusantara Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 26/12 | Persikutim United Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/12 | Persika Karanganyar Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/12 | Persibo Bojonegoro Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 12/12 | RANS Nusantara Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 08/12 | Persikutim United Indonesia Liga Nusantara |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Persekabpas Pasuruan vs Persinab Sang Maestro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Persekabpas Pasuruan win (46%). Probabilities: Persekabpas Pasuruan 46%, draw 28%, Persinab Sang Maestro 25%.
How many goals are expected in Persekabpas Pasuruan vs Persinab Sang Maestro?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Persekabpas Pasuruan 1.32 · Persinab Sang Maestro 0.9), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Persekabpas Pasuruan vs Persinab Sang Maestro?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.