Prediction: Persiba Bantul vs Gresik United

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Persiba Bantul0.9
Gresik United1.36
1X2
25% 28% 47%
Persiba Bantul Draw Gresik United
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Persiba Bantul 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWDWDLD
Gresik United 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLWLLLWDW
Head-to-head
Persiba Bantul 0–1–2 Gresik United (3 last)
  • Gresik United0-0Persiba Bantul
  • Persiba Bantul0-2Gresik United
  • Gresik United1-0Persiba Bantul
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Persiba Bantul 1515 · Gresik United 1479
Persiba BantulDrawGresik United
Our model23%30%46%
Market26%26%48%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Gresik United: 2-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Persiba BantulGresik United
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 1.20.9 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.91.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.35.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Persiba Bantul 0–1–2 Gresik United

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/01/26
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
Gresik United0-0
HT 0-0
Persiba Bantul
26/12/25
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
Persiba Bantul0-2
HT 0-2
Gresik United
08/12/25
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
Gresik United1-0
HT 0-0
Persiba Bantul

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPersiba BantulGresik United
Perseden Denpasar 2-1 W 1-2 L
Persebata Lembata 2-0 W 2-0 W
Waanal Brothers FC 4-2 W 2-1 W
Persekabpas Pasuruan 1-1 D 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Persiba Bantul (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Persiba Bantul

LWDWWDWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/02 PSGC Ciamis
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
1-2 2-2 53 D
03/02 RANS Nusantara
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-1 1-2 53 L
31/01 Persika Karanganyar
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-1 1-1 73 D
20/01 Perseden Denpasar
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
1-1 2-1 44 W
17/01 Gresik United
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-0 0-0 54 D
13/01 Persebata Lembata
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
1-0 2-0 14 W
09/01 Waanal Brothers FC
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
1-0 4-2 102 W
04/01 Persekabpas Pasuruan
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-0 1-1 59 D
29/12 Perseden Denpasar
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-0 2-1 44 W
26/12 Gresik United
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-2 0-2 38 L

Gresik United

LLLWLLLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/01 Persebata Lembata
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
1-0 2-0 46 W
17/01 Persiba Bantul
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-0 0-0 14 D
12/01 Waanal Brothers FC
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-1 2-1 56 W
08/01 Persekabpas Pasuruan
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-0 0-1 86 L
08/01 Persekabpas
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-0 0-1 86 L
04/01 Perseden Denpasar
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-0 1-2 38 L
26/12 Persiba Bantul
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
2-0 2-0 58 W
23/12 Waanal Brothers FC
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
1-1 1-2 44 L
20/12 Persekabpas Pasuruan
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
0-1 0-2 42 L
16/12 Perseden Denpasar
Indonesia Liga Nusantara
1-1 1-2 46 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Persiba Bantul vs Gresik United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Gresik United win (47%). Probabilities: Persiba Bantul 25%, draw 28%, Gresik United 47%.

How many goals are expected in Persiba Bantul vs Gresik United?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Persiba Bantul 0.9 · Gresik United 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Persiba Bantul vs Gresik United?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.