Football · Netherlands Eredivisie Women · 15/11, 16:45
Prediction: FC Twente (W) vs PSV (W)
Team pages: FC Twente (W) · PSV (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
FC Twente (W)1.84
PSV (W)1.52
1X2
FC Twente (W)
Draw
PSV (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Twente (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
PSV (W)
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Twente (W)
2–1–3
PSV (W)
(6 last)
- PSV (W)0-4FC Twente (W)
- PSV (W)3-0FC Twente (W)
- PSV (W)2-0FC Twente (W)
- FC Twente (W)1-2PSV (W)
- FC Twente (W)2-2PSV (W)
- PSV (W)1-3FC Twente (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Twente (W) 1563 · PSV (W) 1574
| FC Twente (W) | Draw | PSV (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 24% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours PSV (W): 3-1-2.
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Twente (W) | PSV (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 0.8 | 2.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/10/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.2 | 3.5 / 7.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Twente (W) 2–1–3 PSV (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PSV (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FC Twente (W) |
| 31/07/26 Netherlands Super Cup Women | PSV (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | FC Twente (W) |
| 25/05/26 Netherlands Cup Women | PSV (W) | 2-0 HT 2-0 | FC Twente (W) |
| 22/05/26 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | FC Twente (W) | 1-2 HT 0-2 | PSV (W) |
| 16/05/26 Netherlands Cup Women | FC Twente (W) | 2-2 HT 0-1 | PSV (W) |
| 04/10/25 Netherlands Eredivisie Women | PSV (W) | 1-3 HT 1-0 | FC Twente (W) |
Standings · Netherlands Eredivisie Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente (W) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 6 | 22 |
| 2 | Ajax (W) | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | 21 |
| 3 | PSV (W) | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 11 | 19 |
| 4 | De Graafschap (W) | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | VV Alkmaar (W) | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 12 |
| 6 | PEC Zwolle (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 11 |
| 7 | Heerenveen (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 11 |
| 8 | Feyenoord (W) | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 9 |
| 9 | ADO Den Haag (W) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Utrecht (W) | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Twente (W) | PSV (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Ajax (W) | 0-2 L | 4-1 W |
| PEC Zwolle (W) | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Utrecht (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| VV Alkmaar (W) | 5-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Feyenoord (W) | 4-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Heerenveen (W) | 5-1 W | 5-2 W |
| ADO Den Haag (W) | 7-1 W | 3-0 W |
| De Graafschap (W) | 2-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 6 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Twente (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 27/09 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/09 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 7-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/05 | PSV (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
PSV (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Heerenveen (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-1 | 5-2 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 18/10 | Ajax (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | ADO Den Haag (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/09 | De Graafschap (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 19/09 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | VV Alkmaar (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 06/09 | Feyenoord (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 22/08 | FC Utrecht (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 16/08 | PEC Zwolle (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FC Twente (W) Netherlands Eredivisie Women |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Twente (W) vs PSV (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Twente (W) win (45%). Probabilities: FC Twente (W) 45%, draw 24%, PSV (W) 31%.
How many goals are expected in FC Twente (W) vs PSV (W)?
The model expects 3.36 goals (FC Twente (W) 1.84 · PSV (W) 1.52), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Twente (W) vs PSV (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.