Football · Argentina Championship Women · 13/11, 21:00
Prediction: Racing Club (W) vs CA Independiente Women
Team pages: Racing Club (W) · CA Independiente Women
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.74Total
Racing Club (W)2.73
CA Independiente Women1.01
1X2
Racing Club (W)
Draw
CA Independiente Women
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
CA Independiente Women
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing Club (W)
3–2–1
CA Independiente Women
(6 last)
- CA Independiente Women1-3Racing Club (W)
- CA Independiente Women1-1Racing Club (W)
- Racing Club (W)1-1CA Independiente Women
- CA Independiente Women0-4Racing Club (W)
- Racing Club (W)3-1CA Independiente Women
- CA Independiente Women2-0Racing Club (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club (W) 1549 · CA Independiente Women 1425
| Racing Club (W) | Draw | CA Independiente Women | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 73% | 16% | 11% |
| Market | 73% | 16% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Club (W) (rating 1549 vs 1425).
- H2H favours Racing Club (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club (W) | CA Independiente Women | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.4 / 2.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 1.6 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club (W) 3–2–1 CA Independiente Women
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/26 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 1-3 | Racing Club (W) |
| 25/04/25 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Racing Club (W) |
| 21/11/24 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 07/07/24 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Racing Club (W) |
| 15/09/23 Argentina Championship Women | Racing Club (W) | 3-1 HT 1-0 | CA Independiente Women |
| 13/06/23 Argentina Championship Women | CA Independiente Women | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Racing Club (W) |
Standings · Argentina Championship Women · Primera Division A, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors (W) | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 24 |
| 3 | Banfield (W) | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 24 |
| 4 | San Luis FC (W) | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 24 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo (W) | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | Belgrano (W) | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 20 |
| 7 | Racing Club (W) | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | River Plate (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 17 |
| 9 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 17 |
| 10 | Social Atletico Television (W) | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 11 | Lanus (W) | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 16 |
| 12 | Union Santa Fe (W) | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 10 |
| 13 | CA Independiente Women | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 9 |
| 14 | Huracan (W) | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | 8 |
| 15 | Gimnasia LP (W) | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 7 |
| 16 | Newell's Old Boys (W) | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 25 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing Club (W) | CA Independiente Women |
|---|---|---|
| Huracan (W) | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Lanus (W) | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Belgrano (W) | 3-1 W | 0-6 L |
| Social Atletico Television (W) | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| San Lorenzo (W) | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Racing Club (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/10 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 02/10 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 27/09 | River Plate (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 18/09 | Banfield (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Gimnasia LP (W) Argentina Championship Women |
3-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 04/09 | Newell's Old Boys (W) Argentina Championship Women |
2-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/08 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/08 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
CA Independiente Women
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11 | San Lorenzo (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | CA Talleres de Cordoba (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 25/09 | Ferro Carril Oeste (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 19/09 | Boca Juniors (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Lanus (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | San Luis FC (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/08 | Union Santa Fe (W) Argentina Championship Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Social Atletico Television (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/08 | Huracan (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/08 | Belgrano (W) Argentina Championship Women |
0-1 | 0-6 | 0 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club (W) vs CA Independiente Women?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Racing Club (W) 73%, draw 16%, CA Independiente Women 11%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club (W) vs CA Independiente Women?
The model expects 3.74 goals (Racing Club (W) 2.73 · CA Independiente Women 1.01), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club (W) vs CA Independiente Women?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.