Football · Peru Liga 2 · 14/11, 21:30

Prediction: Club Ada Jaen vs Carlos Manucci

Team pages: Club Ada Jaen · Carlos Manucci

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.08Total

Club Ada Jaen1.16

Carlos Manucci0.92

1X2

40% 31% 28%

Club Ada Jaen Draw Carlos Manucci

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Ada Jaen 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWWLDW

Carlos Manucci 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Club Ada Jaen 1–2–1 Carlos Manucci (4 last)

Carlos Manucci2-0Club Ada Jaen
Club Ada Jaen0-0Carlos Manucci
Club Ada Jaen1-1Carlos Manucci
Carlos Manucci0-1Club Ada Jaen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Ada Jaen 1530 · Carlos Manucci 1565

	Club Ada Jaen	Draw	Carlos Manucci
Our model	40%	32%	28%
Market	41%	31%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Ada Jaen	Carlos Manucci
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	2.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

12.10

X2.80

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 21:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.10▲	Pinn 2.39 ★
X	3.25 → 2.80▼	Pinn 2.84
2	3.20 → 3.00▼	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 16.7% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
23:05 +3’	2.00	3.25	3.20
05:58 +15’	2.00	3.25	3.25▲
07:46 +21’	1.91▼	3.30▲	3.50▲
12:16 +11’	2.10▲	3.25▼	3.00▼
21:09 +2’	2.10	2.80▼	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:05 +11’	2.34	2.88	2.90
20:05 +14’	2.35▲	2.94▲	2.96▲
21:08 +3’	2.39▲	2.84▼	2.99▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Ada Jaen 1–2–1 Carlos Manucci

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Peru Liga 2	Carlos Manucci	2-0 HT 1-0	Club Ada Jaen
18/04/26 Peru Liga 2	Club Ada Jaen	0-0 HT 0-0	Carlos Manucci
21/06/25 Peru Liga 2	Club Ada Jaen	1-1 HT 0-0	Carlos Manucci
03/05/25 Peru Liga 2	Carlos Manucci	0-1 HT 0-0	Club Ada Jaen

Standings · Peru Liga 2 · Liga 2 2026, Main Round, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Carlos Manucci	6	3	3	0	15	5	14
2	CD Universidad San Martin	6	4	0	2	8	11	12
3	Bentin Tacna Heroica	6	1	3	2	6	8	7
4	Alianza Universidad	6	0	2	4	5	10	2

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Ada Jaen	Carlos Manucci
Union Comercio	1-0 W	0-0 D
Cesar Vallejo	1-0 W	0-1 L
CD Universidad San Martin	1-3 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Club Ada Jaen (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Ada Jaen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2	1-0	5-1	4	0	W
24/10	Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/10	Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
11/10	Comerciantes FC Peru Liga 2	0-0	2-0	6	5	W
07/10	Sport Huancayo II Peru Liga 2	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
25/09	Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Union Comercio Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
05/09	Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
16/08	CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2	0-2	1-3	8	6	L
08/08	Deportivo Llacuabamba Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Carlos Manucci

LDWWWDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2	1-2	2-2	10	2	D
25/10	CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2	0-1	2-1	7	9	W
17/10	Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2	1-0	1-1	5	6	D
13/10	Alianza Universidad Peru Liga 2	2-0	3-1	9	8	W
08/10	Bentin Tacna Heroica Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	0	5	D
26/09	CD Universidad San Martin Peru Liga 2	3-0	7-0	5	2	W
07/09	Pirata FC Peru Liga 2	2-1	4-2	5	3	W
29/08	Academia Deportiva Cantolao Peru Liga 2	1-0	2-0	4	6	W
23/08	Union Comercio Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
16/08	Cesar Vallejo Peru Liga 2	0-0	0-1	4	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Ada Jaen vs Carlos Manucci?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Ada Jaen win (40%). Probabilities: Club Ada Jaen 40%, draw 31%, Carlos Manucci 28%.

How many goals are expected in Club Ada Jaen vs Carlos Manucci?

The model expects 2.08 goals (Club Ada Jaen 1.16 · Carlos Manucci 0.92), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Ada Jaen vs Carlos Manucci?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.