Football · Uruguay League Women · 09/11, 00:00
Prediction: Montevideo City Torque (W) vs Nacional De Football (W)
Team pages: Montevideo City Torque (W) · Nacional De Football (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Montevideo City Torque (W)0.88
Nacional De Football (W)2.54
1X2
Montevideo City Torque (W)
Draw
Nacional De Football (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
0-2 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Montevideo City Torque (W)
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Nacional De Football (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Montevideo City Torque (W)
1–5
Nacional De Football (W)
(6 last)
- Montevideo City Torque (W)1-0Nacional De Football (W)
- Nacional De Football (W)2-1Montevideo City Torque (W)
- Montevideo City Torque (W)0-3Nacional De Football (W)
- Nacional De Football (W)5-0Montevideo City Torque (W)
- Nacional De Football (W)3-0Montevideo City Torque (W)
- Nacional De Football (W)2-0Montevideo City Torque (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Montevideo City Torque (W) 1603 · Nacional De Football (W) 1573
| Montevideo City Torque (W) | Draw | Nacional De Football (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 17% | 73% |
| Market | 10% | 17% | 73% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nacional De Football (W): 5-0-1.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Montevideo City Torque (W) | Nacional De Football (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 4 / 0.3 | 5 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 67/17/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.4 | 5.7 / 8.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Montevideo City Torque (W) 1–0–5 Nacional De Football (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/26 Uruguay League Women | Montevideo City Torque (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Nacional De Football (W) |
| 30/05/26 Uruguay League Women | Nacional De Football (W) | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Montevideo City Torque (W) |
| 09/06/25 Uruguay League Women | Montevideo City Torque (W) | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Nacional De Football (W) |
| 02/12/24 Uruguay League Women | Nacional De Football (W) | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Montevideo City Torque (W) |
| 15/09/24 Uruguay League Women | Nacional De Football (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Montevideo City Torque (W) |
| 07/07/24 Uruguay League Women | Nacional De Football (W) | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Montevideo City Torque (W) |
Standings · Uruguay League Women · Primera Division, Women 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol (W) | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 2 | 27 |
| 2 | Montevideo City Torque (W) | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 3 | 24 |
| 3 | Nacional De Football (W) | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 48 | 5 | 19 |
| 4 | Defensor Sporting (W) | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | Liverpool Montevideo (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 12 | 13 |
| 6 | Danubio (W) | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 13 |
| 7 | FC San Jacinto (W) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 7 |
| 8 | Canadian SC (W) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 30 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud de Las Piedras (W) | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 69 | 4 |
| 10 | Montevideo Wanderers (W) | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 44 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Montevideo City Torque (W) | Nacional De Football (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Montevideo (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Danubio (W) | 3-1 W | 9-0 W |
| Canadian SC (W) | 5-1 W | 6-0 W |
| Penarol (W) | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| FC San Jacinto (W) | 6-0 W | 8-0 W |
| Defensor Sporting (W) | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Juventud de Las Piedras (W) | 11-0 W | 15-0 W |
| Montevideo Wanderers (W) | 6-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 1 L | 7 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Nacional De Football (W) (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Montevideo City Torque (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Liverpool Montevideo (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | Danubio (W) Uruguay League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Canadian SC (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/08 | Penarol (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | FC San Jacinto (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/08 | Nacional De Football (W) Uruguay League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 9 | W |
| 08/08 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Juventud de Las Piedras (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 11-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Montevideo Wanderers (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/07 | Liverpool Montevideo (W) Uruguay League Women |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Nacional De Football (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay League Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 27/09 | Penarol (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 20/09 | Montevideo Wanderers (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/09 | FC San Jacinto (W) Uruguay League Women |
4-0 | 8-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Defensor Sporting (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 16 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Danubio (W) Uruguay League Women |
3-0 | 9-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | Liverpool Montevideo (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/08 | Montevideo City Torque (W) Uruguay League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Juventud de Las Piedras (W) Uruguay League Women |
4-0 | 15-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 02/08 | Canadian SC (W) Uruguay League Women |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Montevideo City Torque (W) vs Nacional De Football (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nacional De Football (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Montevideo City Torque (W) 10%, draw 17%, Nacional De Football (W) 73%.
How many goals are expected in Montevideo City Torque (W) vs Nacional De Football (W)?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Montevideo City Torque (W) 0.88 · Nacional De Football (W) 2.54), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Montevideo City Torque (W) vs Nacional De Football (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.