Football · Argentina Nacional B · 14/11, 19:00
Prediction: CA Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes Caseros
Team pages: CA Atlanta · CA Estudiantes Caseros
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
CA Atlanta1.42
CA Estudiantes Caseros0.76
1X2
CA Atlanta
Draw
CA Estudiantes Caseros
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Atlanta
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
CA Estudiantes Caseros
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Atlanta
3–3
CA Estudiantes Caseros
(6 last)
- CA Atlanta3-2CA Estudiantes Caseros
- CA Estudiantes Caseros2-0CA Atlanta
- CA Atlanta1-0CA Estudiantes Caseros
- CA Atlanta1-0CA Estudiantes Caseros
- CA Estudiantes Caseros2-1CA Atlanta
- CA Estudiantes Caseros1-0CA Atlanta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Atlanta 1547 · CA Estudiantes Caseros 1497
| CA Atlanta | Draw | CA Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 30% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 30% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Atlanta (rating 1547 vs 1497).
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Atlanta | CA Estudiantes Caseros | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 2 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Atlanta 3–0–3 CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 3-2 HT 2-2 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 11/02/23 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 2-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 04/09/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 30/10/21 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Estudiantes Caseros |
| 05/07/21 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 2-1 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 25/01/21 Argentina Nacional B | CA Estudiantes Caseros | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 36 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 64 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 49 | 58 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 29 | 55 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | CA Colegiales | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 32 | 52 |
| 8 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 37 | 35 | 52 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 51 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 47 |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 47 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 46 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 30 | 45 |
| 14 | Chacarita Juniors | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 35 | 42 |
| 15 | Almagro | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 44 | 42 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 36 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 38 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 36 | 37 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 62 | 27 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Atlanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 25/10 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 11/10 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 21/09 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 12/09 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
CA Estudiantes Caseros
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
2-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Deportivo Moron Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | CA San Telmo Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 13/09 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Ferro Carril Oeste Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Atlanta win (52%). Probabilities: CA Atlanta 52%, draw 30%, CA Estudiantes Caseros 19%.
How many goals are expected in CA Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
The model expects 2.18 goals (CA Atlanta 1.42 · CA Estudiantes Caseros 0.76), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Atlanta vs CA Estudiantes Caseros?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.