Football · Argentina Nacional B · 14/11, 22:00
Prediction: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia y Tiro
Team pages: Ferro Carril Oeste · Gimnasia y Tiro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.88Total
Ferro Carril Oeste1.42
Gimnasia y Tiro0.46
1X2
Ferro Carril Oeste
Draw
Gimnasia y Tiro
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
1-0 21%
Recent form · 10 last
Ferro Carril Oeste
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia y Tiro
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ferro Carril Oeste
1–1–0
Gimnasia y Tiro
(2 last)
- Ferro Carril Oeste0-0Gimnasia y Tiro
- Gimnasia y Tiro1-2Ferro Carril Oeste
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferro Carril Oeste 1501 · Gimnasia y Tiro 1494
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Draw | Gimnasia y Tiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 29% | 11% |
| Market | 61% | 26% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.88 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferro Carril Oeste | Gimnasia y Tiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 1.5 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferro Carril Oeste 1–1–0 Gimnasia y Tiro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/25 Argentina Nacional B | Ferro Carril Oeste | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
| 02/03/25 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Ferro Carril Oeste |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 36 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 64 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 49 | 58 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 29 | 55 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | CA Colegiales | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 32 | 52 |
| 8 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 37 | 35 | 52 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 51 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 47 |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 47 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 46 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 30 | 45 |
| 14 | Chacarita Juniors | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 35 | 42 |
| 15 | Almagro | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 44 | 42 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 36 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 38 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 36 | 37 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 62 | 27 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferro Carril Oeste
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Acassuso Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/10 | CA Chaco For Ever Argentina Nacional B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/10 | Central Norte Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 03/10 | Deportivo Madryn Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 27/09 | Defensores de Belgrano Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
Gimnasia y Tiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/10 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 17/10 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 11/10 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/09 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 29/08 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferro Carril Oeste win (61%). Probabilities: Ferro Carril Oeste 61%, draw 28%, Gimnasia y Tiro 12%.
How many goals are expected in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
The model expects 1.88 goals (Ferro Carril Oeste 1.42 · Gimnasia y Tiro 0.46), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.