Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 15/11, 18:00

Prediction: ADR Jicaral vs Guadalupe FC

Team pages: ADR Jicaral · Guadalupe FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

ADR Jicaral1.74

Guadalupe FC0.97

1X2

55% 25% 20%

ADR Jicaral Draw Guadalupe FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

ADR Jicaral 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDDWWWWLD

Guadalupe FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWWWWD

Head-to-head

ADR Jicaral 1–2–3 Guadalupe FC (6 last)

Guadalupe FC2-2ADR Jicaral
Guadalupe FC0-0ADR Jicaral
ADR Jicaral0-2Guadalupe FC
ADR Jicaral2-1Guadalupe FC
Guadalupe FC2-0ADR Jicaral
Guadalupe FC1-0ADR Jicaral

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ADR Jicaral 1564 · Guadalupe FC 1531

	ADR Jicaral	Draw	Guadalupe FC
Our model	54%	26%	20%
Market	55%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Guadalupe FC: 3-2-1.
High corners: 14.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ADR Jicaral	Guadalupe FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.7	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.2	3.2 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.5	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.60

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.82

2 (+0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:09 +26’	1.61	3.60	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ADR Jicaral 1–2–3 Guadalupe FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/11/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Guadalupe FC	2-2 HT 1-1	ADR Jicaral
24/12/24 Costa Rica Segunda	Guadalupe FC	0-0 HT 0-0	ADR Jicaral
15/12/24 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	0-2 HT 0-1	Guadalupe FC
19/11/23 Costa Rica Segunda	ADR Jicaral	2-1 HT 2-0	Guadalupe FC
11/11/23 Costa Rica Segunda	Guadalupe FC	2-0 HT 1-0	ADR Jicaral
28/04/22 Costa Rica Primera Division	Guadalupe FC	1-0 HT 0-0	ADR Jicaral

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana	14	9	0	5	22	15	27
2	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	14	6	5	3	23	22	23
3	Cariari Pococi	14	6	4	4	17	13	22
4	Guadalupe FC	14	6	3	5	19	20	21
5	FC Moravia	14	6	1	7	21	15	19
6	FC Aserri	14	5	4	5	17	18	19
7	AD Carmelita	14	4	4	6	21	19	16
8	CS Uruguay de Coronado	14	2	3	9	12	30	9

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ADR Jicaral

WWDDWWWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
01/11	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	9	1	L
25/10	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-0	0	7	W
11/10	PFA Santa Cruz Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-0	9	8	W
04/10	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	3-1	11	6	W
27/09	AD Sarchi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	8	6	W
20/09	AD Rosario Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-1	10	9	D
13/09	AD Grecia Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
06/09	Quepos Cambute FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-0	7	8	W
17/08	AD Cofutpa Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	11	7	W

Guadalupe FC

LLLDWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	ADR Jicaral Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-2	4	6	D
01/11	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
24/10	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-1	11	3	W
17/10	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
10/10	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	2-0	2-0	10	10	W
04/10	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	2-1	3-2	8	4	W
27/09	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-2	11	5	D
19/09	FC Moravia Costa Rica Segunda	0-3	0-3	10	5	L
13/09	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-2	7	5	L
06/09	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ADR Jicaral vs Guadalupe FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ADR Jicaral win (55%). Probabilities: ADR Jicaral 55%, draw 25%, Guadalupe FC 20%.

How many goals are expected in ADR Jicaral vs Guadalupe FC?

The model expects 2.71 goals (ADR Jicaral 1.74 · Guadalupe FC 0.97), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in ADR Jicaral vs Guadalupe FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.