Football · Kuwait Division 1 · 04/11, 15:30

Prediction: Burgan SC vs Al Shamiya FC

Team pages: Burgan SC · Al Shamiya FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Burgan SC1.91
Al Shamiya FC0.72
1X2
65% 21% 13%
Burgan SC Draw Al Shamiya FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Burgan SC 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DLLDDLDWLD
Al Shamiya FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)
LLDWLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Burgan SC 3–1–0 Al Shamiya FC (4 last)
  • Burgan SC1-0Al Shamiya FC
  • Burgan SC4-1Al Shamiya FC
  • Al Shamiya FC2-2Burgan SC
  • Burgan SC4-2Al Shamiya FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Burgan SC 1470 · Al Shamiya FC 1390
Burgan SCDrawAl Shamiya FC
Our model65%23%12%
Market66%20%14%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Burgan SC (rating 1470 vs 1390).
  • H2H favours Burgan SC: 3-1-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Burgan SCAl Shamiya FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 10.6 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.4 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)11/56/33%13/13/75%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 4.61.7 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 0.35.5 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Burgan SC 3–1–0 Al Shamiya FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
20/10/26
Kuwait Crown Prince Cup
Burgan SC1-0
HT 0-0
Al Shamiya FC
17/08/26
Kuwait Division 1
Burgan SC4-1
HT 2-0
Al Shamiya FC
21/02/26
Kuwait Division 1
Al Shamiya FC2-2
HT 1-1
Burgan SC
26/10/25
Kuwait Division 1
Burgan SC4-2
HT 3-1
Al Shamiya FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBurgan SCAl Shamiya FC
Yarmouk 0-0 D 0-3 L
Al-Jazeera KWT 0-1 L 1-6 L
Khaitan 0-0 D 1-0 W
Al Salibikhaet SC 0-0 D 0-3 L
Al Sahel SC 0-0 D 0-3 L
Record vs common 0 W 4 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Burgan SC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Burgan SC

DLLDDLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/10 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 13 D
08/10 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-1 53 L
17/08 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Division 1
2-0 4-1 –– W
14/08 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 82 D
11/08 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 1-3 04 L
07/08 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 25 D
02/08 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 –– D
29/07 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-2 34 L
25/07 Sporty FC
Kuwait Division 1
– 0-1 –– L
21/02 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 2-2 139 D

Al Shamiya FC

LLDWLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/10 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
1-3 1-6 36 L
17/08 Burgan SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-2 1-4 –– L
10/08 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-3 27 L
06/08 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
0-3 0-5 42 L
02/08 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
– 0-3 –– L
29/07 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-3 –– L
25/07 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
– 1-0 –– W
21/02 Burgan SC
Kuwait Division 1
1-1 2-2 39 D
22/01 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-2 0-4 56 L
15/01 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
1-0 1-2 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Burgan SC vs Al Shamiya FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Burgan SC win (65%). Probabilities: Burgan SC 65%, draw 21%, Al Shamiya FC 13%.

How many goals are expected in Burgan SC vs Al Shamiya FC?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Burgan SC 1.91 · Al Shamiya FC 0.72), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Burgan SC vs Al Shamiya FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.