Football · Kuwait Division 1 · 04/11, 15:30

Prediction: Yarmouk vs Sporty FC

Team pages: Yarmouk · Sporty FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Yarmouk2.65
Sporty FC0.65
1X2
83% 12% 5%
Yarmouk Draw Sporty FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Yarmouk 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DDLWWDWDLD
Sporty FC 1-0-9 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLLLL
Head-to-head
Yarmouk 2–0 Sporty FC (2 last)
  • Sporty FC1-2Yarmouk
  • Yarmouk3-0Sporty FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yarmouk 1512 · Sporty FC 1395
YarmoukDrawSporty FC
Our model79%15%6%
Market85%10%5%
Estimated total (ours) 3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yarmouk (rating 1512 vs 1395).
  • H2H favours Yarmouk: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

YarmoukSporty FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.4 / 1.10.4 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.20.1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)22/67/11%0/25/75%
Corners (HT / FT)3.4 / 6.40.5 / 1.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.13.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Yarmouk 2–0–0 Sporty FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/07/26
Kuwait Division 1
Sporty FC1-2
HT 0-0
Yarmouk
22/12/25
Kuwait Division 1
Yarmouk3-0
HT 1-0
Sporty FC

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentYarmoukSporty FC
Burgan SC 0-0 D 1-0 W
Al-Jazeera KWT 0-2 L 0-3 L
Al Salibikhaet SC 1-1 D 0-3 L
Khaitan 0-0 D 1-6 L
Al Sahel SC 0-1 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 2 L 1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Yarmouk (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yarmouk

DDLWWDWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/10 Burgan SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 63 D
17/08 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-2 69 L
14/08 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 1-1 76 D
11/08 Burgan SC
Kuwait Division 1
1-0 3-1 74 W
07/08 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-0 93 D
02/08 Al Shamiya FC
Kuwait Division 1
– 3-0 –– W
29/07 Sporty FC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 2-1 82 W
25/07 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-1 –– L
20/02 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
2-1 3-3 24 D
04/02 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 2-2 64 D

Sporty FC

LLWLLLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/10 Ittihad Al-Shorta SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 1-2 25 L
08/10 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
1-6 1-6 12 L
17/08 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-5 –– L
11/08 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-3 15 L
06/08 Al Sahel SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-2 32 L
02/08 Al-Jazeera KWT
Kuwait Division 1
– 0-3 –– L
29/07 Yarmouk
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 1-2 12 L
25/07 Burgan SC
Kuwait Division 1
– 1-0 –– W
20/02 Khaitan
Kuwait Division 1
0-1 0-2 04 L
22/01 Al Salibikhaet SC
Kuwait Division 1
0-0 0-1 05 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yarmouk vs Sporty FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yarmouk win (83%). Probabilities: Yarmouk 83%, draw 12%, Sporty FC 5%.

How many goals are expected in Yarmouk vs Sporty FC?

The model expects 3.31 goals (Yarmouk 2.65 · Sporty FC 0.65), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Yarmouk vs Sporty FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.