Football · Argentina Nacional B · 14/11, 22:00
Prediction: Deportivo Moron vs CA Colegiales
Team pages: Deportivo Moron · CA Colegiales
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.05Total
Deportivo Moron1.3
CA Colegiales0.75
1X2
Deportivo Moron
Draw
CA Colegiales
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Moron
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
CA Colegiales
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Moron
4–1–0
CA Colegiales
(5 last)
- Deportivo Moron1-0CA Colegiales
- CA Colegiales1-2Deportivo Moron
- Deportivo Moron2-1CA Colegiales
- CA Colegiales0-1Deportivo Moron
- Deportivo Moron0-0CA Colegiales
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Moron 1491 · CA Colegiales 1546
| Deportivo Moron | Draw | CA Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 31% | 20% |
| Market | 49% | 31% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.05 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Colegiales (rating 1491 vs 1546).
- H2H favours Deportivo Moron: 4-1-0.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Moron | CA Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Moron 4–1–0 CA Colegiales
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/17 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Moron | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CA Colegiales |
| 26/09/16 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Colegiales | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Moron |
| 24/05/16 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Moron | 2-1 HT 1-1 | CA Colegiales |
| 08/11/15 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Colegiales | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Moron |
| 21/06/15 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Moron | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Colegiales |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 36 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 34 | 16 | 64 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 36 | 19 | 5 | 12 | 42 | 34 | 62 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Temperley | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 43 | 31 | 61 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 53 | 49 | 58 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 29 | 55 |
| 6 | Deportivo Maipu | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 34 | 52 |
| 7 | CA Colegiales | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 36 | 32 | 52 |
| 8 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 37 | 35 | 52 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 51 |
| 10 | San Martin de Tucuman | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 39 | 37 | 47 |
| 11 | Atletico Rafaela | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 29 | 35 | 47 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 31 | 39 | 46 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 30 | 45 |
| 14 | Chacarita Juniors | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 35 | 42 |
| 15 | Almagro | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 33 | 44 | 42 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 36 | 7 | 17 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 38 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 36 | 37 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 36 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 62 | 27 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Moron
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Club Ciudad de Bolivar Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 25/10 | Almirante Brown Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 18/10 | Club Atletico Mitre Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | CA Estudiantes Caseros Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 03/10 | All Boys Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Los Andes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Godoy Cruz Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Racing de Cordoba Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Colon Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | CA San Miguel Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
CA Colegiales
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 25/10 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/10 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 04/10 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 20/09 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Moron vs CA Colegiales?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Moron win (49%). Probabilities: Deportivo Moron 49%, draw 31%, CA Colegiales 20%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Moron vs CA Colegiales?
The model expects 2.05 goals (Deportivo Moron 1.3 · CA Colegiales 0.75), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Moron vs CA Colegiales?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.