Football · Argentina Nacional B · 14/11, 22:00

Prediction: Colon vs Ferrocarril Midland

Team pages: Colon · Ferrocarril Midland

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
Colon1.35
Ferrocarril Midland0.78
1X2
49% 30% 21%
Colon Draw Ferrocarril Midland
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Colon 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LLLWDWDDWW
Ferrocarril Midland 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
LLWWLDWLWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colon 1524 · Ferrocarril Midland 1512
ColonDrawFerrocarril Midland
Our model49%31%20%
Market50%29%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

ColonFerrocarril Midland
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.71.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 4.42.8 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.13.3 / 0.2

Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tristan Suarez 3616164 341664
2 CA Atlanta 3619512 423462
3 Club Atletico Temperley 3616137 433161
4 Gimnasia Jujuy 36161010 534958
5 Ferrocarril Midland 36151011 432955
6 Deportivo Maipu 36141012 433452
7 CA Colegiales 36141012 363252
8 Gimnasia y Tiro 36141012 373552
9 San Martin SJ 36131211 423651
10 San Martin de Tucuman 36111411 393747
11 Atletico Rafaela 36121113 293547
12 Agropecuario 36121014 313946
13 Quilmes 3612915 333045
14 Chacarita Juniors 3612618 293542
15 Almagro 3611916 334442
16 Patronato Parana 3671712 293538
17 Nueva Chicago 3691017 253637
18 CA Guemes 366921 286227

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colon

LLLWDWDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 Defensores de Belgrano
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 2-0 90 W
25/10 Club Ciudad de Bolivar
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 2-0 64 W
17/10 Almirante Brown
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 2-2 37 D
11/10 Club Atletico Mitre
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 62 D
03/10 CA Estudiantes Caseros
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 1-0 94 W
26/09 All Boys
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 14 D
20/09 Los Andes
Argentina Nacional B
3-0 3-0 34 W
13/09 Godoy Cruz
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-2 27 L
05/09 Deportivo Moron
Argentina Nacional B
0-2 1-2 26 L
30/08 Racing de Cordoba
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-1 34 L

Ferrocarril Midland

LLWWLDWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/10 CA Atlanta
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 41 D
25/10 Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 3-0 61 W
18/10 San Martin de Tucuman
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-3 54 L
10/10 Atletico Rafaela
Argentina Nacional B
2-0 4-0 42 W
04/10 Agropecuario
Argentina Nacional B
0-0 0-0 56 D
27/09 Tristan Suarez
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 0-1 35 L
20/09 CA Guemes
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 2-0 33 W
13/09 Chacarita Juniors
Argentina Nacional B
1-0 1-0 65 W
06/09 San Martin SJ
Argentina Nacional B
0-1 2-3 83 L
03/09 CA Colegiales
Argentina Nacional B
0-2 0-3 65 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colon vs Ferrocarril Midland?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Colon win (49%). Probabilities: Colon 49%, draw 30%, Ferrocarril Midland 21%.

How many goals are expected in Colon vs Ferrocarril Midland?

The model expects 2.13 goals (Colon 1.35 · Ferrocarril Midland 0.78), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Colon vs Ferrocarril Midland?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.