Prediction: CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs CA Alvarado
Team pages: CA Sarmiento de la Banda · CA Alvarado
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | Draw | CA Alvarado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 31% | 26% |
| Market | 43% | 32% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Alvarado (rating 1450 vs 1512).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Sarmiento de la Banda | CA Alvarado | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 1.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.6 |
Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo B Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 11 |
| 6 | CDA Monte Maiz | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Club Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 2 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Sarmiento de la Banda | CA Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas | 2-4 L | 3-2 W |
| Defensores de Belgrano VR | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Alvarado (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Sarmiento de la Banda
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/10 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 20/09 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | San Martin Formosa Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 10 | L |
| 06/09 | CA 9 de Julio Rafaela Argentina Torneo A |
0-3 | 1-4 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | Sportivo Belgrano Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 16/08 | CA Douglas Haig Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
CA Alvarado
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/10 | Sportivo Las Parejas Argentina Torneo A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 18/10 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 11/10 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 04/10 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Defensores de Belgrano VR Argentina Torneo A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Olimpo B Blanca Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | Cipolletti Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Kimberley Mar del Plata Argentina Torneo A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs CA Alvarado?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Sarmiento de la Banda win (43%). Probabilities: CA Sarmiento de la Banda 43%, draw 32%, CA Alvarado 26%.
How many goals are expected in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs CA Alvarado?
The model expects 2.19 goals (CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1.27 · CA Alvarado 0.93), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Sarmiento de la Banda vs CA Alvarado?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.