Football · Argentina Torneo A · 15/11, 20:00

Prediction: CA Alvarado vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Team pages: CA Alvarado · CA Sarmiento de la Banda

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
CA Alvarado1.64
CA Sarmiento de la Banda0.7
1X2
59% 26% 15%
CA Alvarado Draw CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
CA Alvarado 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLDDWLDWLL
CA Sarmiento de la Banda 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLLDDWLW
Head-to-head
CA Alvarado 0–1 CA Sarmiento de la Banda (1 last)
  • CA Sarmiento de la Banda1-0CA Alvarado
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CA Alvarado 1499 · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 1464
CA AlvaradoDrawCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Our model59%26%15%
Market59%26%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CA AlvaradoCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 11.1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.20.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/70/10%20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.8 / 3.52.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.2 / 0.84.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Alvarado 0–0–1 CA Sarmiento de la Banda

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/11/26
Argentina Torneo A
CA Sarmiento de la Banda1-0
HT 0-0
CA Alvarado

Standings · Argentina Torneo A · Torneo Federal A 2026, Main round, Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CA Alvarado 8431 10515
2 Cipolletti 8431 10715
3 Olimpo B Blanca 8341 7413
4 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 8413 121013
5 Kimberley Mar del Plata 8323 8611
6 CDA Monte Maiz 8323 7711
7 Club Villa Mitre 8242 5410
8 Huracan Las Heras 8215 387
9 Juventud Antoniana 8026 1122

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCA AlvaradoCA Sarmiento de la Banda
Defensores de Belgrano VR 2-0 W 0-2 L
Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas 3-2 W 2-4 L
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: CA Alvarado (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CA Alvarado

WLDDWLDWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 CA Sarmiento de la Banda
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 27 L
01/11 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-2 43 L
25/10 Sportivo Las Parejas
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 1-0 17 W
18/10 Cipolletti
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 47 D
11/10 Cipolletti
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 17 L
04/10 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 2-0 53 W
27/09 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
2-1 2-2 43 D
20/09 Olimpo B Blanca
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-1 20 D
13/09 Cipolletti
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-1 37 L
06/09 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 3-2 96 W

CA Sarmiento de la Banda

WLLLLDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 CA Alvarado
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 1-0 57 W
01/11 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 2-4 24 L
25/10 Sportivo y Biblioteca Atenas
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 22 W
18/10 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-0 0-0 23 D
11/10 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 1-1 55 D
20/09 Defensores de Belgrano VR
Argentina Torneo A
0-2 0-2 114 L
13/09 San Martin Formosa
Argentina Torneo A
0-3 0-3 610 L
06/09 CA 9 de Julio Rafaela
Argentina Torneo A
0-3 1-4 124 L
30/08 Gimnasia Y Esgrima De Chivilcoy
Argentina Torneo A
0-1 0-1 66 L
23/08 Sportivo Belgrano
Argentina Torneo A
1-0 3-0 21 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CA Alvarado vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Alvarado win (59%). Probabilities: CA Alvarado 59%, draw 26%, CA Sarmiento de la Banda 15%.

How many goals are expected in CA Alvarado vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?

The model expects 2.34 goals (CA Alvarado 1.64 · CA Sarmiento de la Banda 0.7), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in CA Alvarado vs CA Sarmiento de la Banda?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.