Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League · 11/11, 13:00
Prediction: Sutjeska Foca vs Leotar
Team pages: Sutjeska Foca · Leotar
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Sutjeska Foca0.72
Leotar1.6
1X2
Sutjeska Foca
Draw
Leotar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Sutjeska Foca
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Leotar
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sutjeska Foca
1–1–4
Leotar
(6 last)
- Leotar2-0Sutjeska Foca
- Sutjeska Foca0-1Leotar
- Leotar3-1Sutjeska Foca
- Sutjeska Foca0-0Leotar
- Leotar5-1Sutjeska Foca
- Sutjeska Foca1-0Leotar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sutjeska Foca 1438 · Leotar 1591
| Sutjeska Foca | Draw | Leotar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 27% | 57% |
| Market | 17% | 24% | 59% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leotar (rating 1438 vs 1591).
- H2H favours Leotar: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sutjeska Foca | Leotar | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.8 | 2.4 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.5 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/0/50% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.5 / 2 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutjeska Foca 1–1–4 Leotar
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 2-0 | Sutjeska Foca |
| 07/03/26 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Sutjeska Foca | 0-1 | Leotar |
| 13/09/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 3-1 | Sutjeska Foca |
| 24/05/25 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Sutjeska Foca | 0-0 | Leotar |
| 16/11/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Leotar | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Sutjeska Foca |
| 23/03/24 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League | Sutjeska Foca | 1-0 | Leotar |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Laktasi | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 48 | 11 | 37 |
| 2 | Leotar | 14 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 36 |
| 3 | FK Kozara Gradiska | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 24 |
| 4 | FK Rudar Prijedor | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 24 |
| 5 | FK Potkozarje | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | FK Drina Zvornik | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 22 |
| 7 | FK Majevica Lopare | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28 | 19 | 22 |
| 8 | FK Famos Vojkovici | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 20 |
| 9 | Romanija Pale | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 31 | 19 |
| 10 | Slavija Sarajevo | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 17 |
| 11 | FK Omarska | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 16 |
| 12 | Sutjeska Foca | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Velez Nevesinje | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 38 | 12 |
| 14 | Zvijezda 09 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 33 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sutjeska Foca | Leotar |
|---|---|---|
| FC Velez Nevesinje | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| FK Majevica Lopare | 1-6 L | 6-0 W |
| Romanija Pale | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Potkozarje | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FK Famos Vojkovici | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Zvijezda 09 | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Leotar (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sutjeska Foca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 04/11 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 24/10 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/09 | FK Kozara Gradiska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 23/09 | FK Omarska Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 16/09 | Leotar Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
Leotar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | FK Drina Zvornik Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/10 | Slavija Sarajevo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 21/10 | FC Velez Nevesinje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/10 | FK Laktasi Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 10/10 | Romanija Pale Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | FK Majevica Lopare Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | FK Potkozarje Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 22/09 | FK Famos Vojkovici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/09 | Zvijezda 09 Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/09 | Sutjeska Foca Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sutjeska Foca vs Leotar?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Leotar win (58%). Probabilities: Sutjeska Foca 16%, draw 25%, Leotar 58%.
How many goals are expected in Sutjeska Foca vs Leotar?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Sutjeska Foca 0.72 · Leotar 1.6), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sutjeska Foca vs Leotar?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.