Football · Austria Landesliga · 30/10, 18:30

Prediction: SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz vs SV Lebring

Team pages: SV Lebring

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz2.34

SV Lebring1.41

1X2

57% 21% 21%

SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Draw SV Lebring

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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SV Lebring 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDLWDWWL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz 1584 · SV Lebring 1480

	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz	Draw	SV Lebring
Our model	57%	21%	22%
Market	57%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz (rating 1584 vs 1480).
High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz	SV Lebring
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.2	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.4	2.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:33 +6’	1.57	4.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	10	7	3	0	26	5	24
2	LAC Inter	10	7	1	2	22	15	22
3	Red Star Penzing	10	7	1	2	20	13	22
4	TWL Elektra	10	7	1	2	22	16	22
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	10	6	1	3	21	13	19
6	Helfort 15	10	5	3	2	16	7	18
7	FV Austria XIII	10	3	4	3	15	13	13
8	First Vienna II	10	4	1	5	21	21	13
9	SV Schwechat	10	4	0	6	16	17	12
10	WAF Brigittenau	10	3	2	5	14	17	11
11	Slovan HAC	10	2	4	4	13	18	10
12	FC 1980 Wien	10	2	3	5	12	25	9
13	Simmeringer SC	10	3	0	7	7	26	9
14	Hellas Kagran	10	2	2	6	15	20	8
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	10	1	4	5	11	22	7
16	Post SV	10	1	2	7	17	20	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz	SV Lebring
SV Pachern	3-0 W	0-1 L
TUS Bad Waltersdorf	1-0 W	2-2 D
SC Fürstenfeld	3-2 W	1-2 L
SV Wildon	2-0 W	1-3 L
Leoben DSV	6-2 W	8-2 W
FC Schladming	2-2 D	4-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz

DWWWWLDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-0	2	2	W
17/10	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/10	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	2-1	6-2	11	3	W
09/10	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
02/10	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
25/09	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
19/09	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-1	3-2	4	4	W
15/09	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	4	6	W
11/09	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	2-2	6-2	–	–	W
04/09	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D

SV Lebring

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-3	6	5	L
16/10	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-1	8-2	–	–	W
13/10	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-0	3	2	W
09/10	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
02/10	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
25/09	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
15/09	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
11/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
04/09	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-2	6	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz vs SV Lebring?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz win (57%). Probabilities: SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz 57%, draw 21%, SV Lebring 21%.

How many goals are expected in SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz vs SV Lebring?

The model expects 3.74 goals (SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz 2.34 · SV Lebring 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz vs SV Lebring?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.