Football · Panama First Division Women · 29/10, 22:00

Prediction: SD Atletico Nacional (W) vs Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)

Team pages: SD Atletico Nacional (W) · Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.04Total

SD Atletico Nacional (W)1.55

Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)2.48

1X2

22% 20% 57%

SD Atletico Nacional (W) Draw Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SD Atletico Nacional (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

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Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DWLLLWWLLL

Head-to-head

SD Atletico Nacional (W) 1–3 Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) (4 last)

Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)1-4SD Atletico Nacional (W)
Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)6-3SD Atletico Nacional (W)
SD Atletico Nacional (W)1-3Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)
SD Atletico Nacional (W)0-6Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SD Atletico Nacional (W) 1405 · Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) 1482

	SD Atletico Nacional (W)	Draw	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)
Our model	23%	20%	57%
Market	22%	21%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 4.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) (rating 1405 vs 1482).
H2H favours Rayadas de Chiriqui (W): 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SD Atletico Nacional (W)	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.8	1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.8	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.6	3.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

14.00

X4.33

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.85

2 (-1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:57 +9’	4.00	4.33	1.57

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Atletico Nacional (W) 1–0–3 Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/08/26 Panama First Division Women	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)	1-4 HT 0-1	SD Atletico Nacional (W)
28/03/26 Panama First Division Women	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)	6-3 HT 2-3	SD Atletico Nacional (W)
13/02/26 Panama First Division Women	SD Atletico Nacional (W)	1-3 HT 1-1	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)
31/10/25 Panama First Division Women	SD Atletico Nacional (W)	0-6 HT 0-1	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SD Atletico Nacional (W)	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)
UMECIT (W)	0-4 L	0-9 L
Santa Fe FC (W)	1-2 L	3-0 W
Inter Panama CF (W)	1-4 L	0-2 L
Tevi Cocle (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
CD Origen (W)	0-4 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SD Atletico Nacional (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/10	UMECIT (W) Panama First Division Women	0-2	0-4	2	7	L
16/10	Santa Fe FC (W) Panama First Division Women	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
29/09	Inter Panama CF (W) Panama First Division Women	0-3	1-4	3	6	L
18/09	Tevi Cocle (W) Panama First Division Women	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
09/09	FC Panama Norte (W) Panama First Division Women	2-0	4-1	2	0	W
29/08	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) Panama First Division Women	1-0	4-1	3	7	W
26/08	Tevi Cocle (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	0-3	4	4	L
22/08	Inter Panama CF (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
14/08	CD Origen (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	0-4	0	4	L
25/04	UMECIT (W) Panama First Division Women	0-1	0-4	2	9	L

Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)

DWLLLWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Plaza Amador (W) Panama First Division Women	1-1	1-3	5	3	L
17/10	UMECIT (W) Panama First Division Women	0-2	0-9	1	3	L
01/10	CD Origen (W) Panama First Division Women	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
25/09	Deportivo Chiriqui (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	4-0	2	4	W
19/09	Santa Fe FC (W) Panama First Division Women	1-0	3-0	7	5	W
10/09	Inter Panama CF (W) Panama First Division Women	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
29/08	SD Atletico Nacional (W) Panama First Division Women	0-1	1-4	2	7	L
20/08	CD Origen (W) Panama First Division Women	0-3	0-4	0	2	L
06/08	Tevi Cocle (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
06/05	UMECIT (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	0-0	2	10	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SD Atletico Nacional (W) vs Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) win (57%). Probabilities: SD Atletico Nacional (W) 22%, draw 20%, Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) 57%.

How many goals are expected in SD Atletico Nacional (W) vs Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)?

The model expects 4.04 goals (SD Atletico Nacional (W) 1.55 · Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) 2.48), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SD Atletico Nacional (W) vs Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.