Football · Panama First Division Women · 23/10, 23:00

Prediction: Tevi Cocle (W) vs Santa Fe FC (W)

Team pages: Tevi Cocle (W) · Santa Fe FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.99Total

Tevi Cocle (W)1.9

Santa Fe FC (W)2.09

1X2

35% 23% 42%

Tevi Cocle (W) Draw Santa Fe FC (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Tevi Cocle (W) 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

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Santa Fe FC (W) 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLDDLWLW

Head-to-head

Tevi Cocle (W) 0–2 Santa Fe FC (W) (2 last)

Tevi Cocle (W)0-4Santa Fe FC (W)
Santa Fe FC (W)2-1Tevi Cocle (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tevi Cocle (W) 1478 · Santa Fe FC (W) 1467

	Tevi Cocle (W)	Draw	Santa Fe FC (W)
Our model	35%	22%	43%
Market	34%	24%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.99 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Santa Fe FC (W): 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tevi Cocle (W)	Santa Fe FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 3.7	1.2 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.7	0.3 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.1	2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.70

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 1.55 · xG: 4.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
17:18 +54’	2.63	3.70	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tevi Cocle (W) 0–0–2 Santa Fe FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/25 Panama First Division Women	Tevi Cocle (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Santa Fe FC (W)
08/05/25 Panama First Division Women	Santa Fe FC (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Tevi Cocle (W)

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tevi Cocle (W)	Santa Fe FC (W)
FC Panama Norte (W)	5-0 W	6-0 W
SD Atletico Nacional (W)	2-1 W	2-1 W
Plaza Amador (W)	0-2 L	1-8 L
UMECIT (W)	0-8 L	0-0 D
Rayadas de Chiriqui (W)	0-1 L	0-3 L
Inter Panama CF (W)	0-8 L	2-7 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Santa Fe FC (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tevi Cocle (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/10	FC Panama Norte (W) Panama First Division Women	4-0	5-0	3	4	W
18/09	SD Atletico Nacional (W) Panama First Division Women	1-0	2-1	0	6	W
10/09	Plaza Amador (W) Panama First Division Women	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
28/08	CD Origen (W) Panama First Division Women	0-7	0-10	3	0	L
26/08	SD Atletico Nacional (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	3-0	5	4	W
13/08	UMECIT (W) Panama First Division Women	0-3	0-8	2	2	L
06/08	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
28/04	Inter Panama CF (W) Panama First Division Women	0-3	0-8	5	2	L
25/04	FC Panama Norte (W) Panama First Division Women	4-1	6-3	7	2	W
20/04	UMECIT (W) Panama First Division Women	0-2	0-4	2	4	L

Santa Fe FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	SD Atletico Nacional (W) Panama First Division Women	0-1	2-1	4	4	W
08/10	Inter Panama CF (W) Panama First Division Women	0-3	2-7	3	4	L
30/09	FC Panama Norte (W) Panama First Division Women	3-0	6-0	9	2	W
19/09	Rayadas de Chiriqui (W) Panama First Division Women	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
28/08	UMECIT (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
19/08	FC Panama Norte (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	0-0	11	2	D
14/08	Plaza Amador (W) Panama First Division Women	0-5	1-8	2	2	L
09/08	Inter Panama CF (W) Panama First Division Women	0-5	0-9	1	1	L
17/05	Chorrillo (W) Panama First Division Women	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
11/05	UMECIT (W) Panama First Division Women	0-0	1-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tevi Cocle (W) vs Santa Fe FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Santa Fe FC (W) win (42%). Probabilities: Tevi Cocle (W) 35%, draw 23%, Santa Fe FC (W) 42%.

How many goals are expected in Tevi Cocle (W) vs Santa Fe FC (W)?

The model expects 3.99 goals (Tevi Cocle (W) 1.9 · Santa Fe FC (W) 2.09), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tevi Cocle (W) vs Santa Fe FC (W)?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.