Football · India Bangalore Super Division · 26/10, 11:30

Prediction: ASC vs MEG

Team pages: ASC · MEG

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.82Total

ASC1.21

MEG2.6

1X2

15% 19% 66%

ASC Draw MEG

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

ASC 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

DLLDLDLLLL

MEG 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDDWLW

Head-to-head

ASC 0–4–2 MEG (6 last)

ASC1-1MEG
ASC0-1MEG
MEG3-2ASC
MEG1-1ASC
ASC2-2MEG
MEG1-1ASC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASC 1413 · MEG 1545

	ASC	Draw	MEG
Our model	15%	18%	67%
Market	14%	20%	66%

Estimated total (ours) 3.82 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MEG (rating 1413 vs 1545).
H2H favours MEG: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASC	MEG
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.2	2.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.1	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

16.25

X4.50

21.36

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.88

2 (-1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:03

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.36 → 1.36	Bet365 1.36

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:57 +6’	6.25	4.50	1.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ASC 0–4–2 MEG

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
23/10/25 India Bangalore Super Division	ASC	1-1 HT 0-0	MEG
27/10/24 India Bangalore Super Division	ASC	0-1 HT 0-1	MEG
29/10/23 India Bangalore Super Division	MEG	3-2 HT 2-0	ASC
10/12/22 India Bangalore Super Division	MEG	1-1 HT 1-0	ASC
30/12/21 India Bangalore Super Division	ASC	2-2 HT 2-0	MEG
16/02/21 India Bangalore Super Division	MEG	1-1 HT 1-1	ASC

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASC	MEG
FC Agniputhra	1-2 L	5-0 W
FC Real Bengaluru	0-3 L	1-3 L
Parikrma FC	0-1 L	4-2 W
Bengaluru B	1-1 D	3-3 D
South United	0-5 L	2-2 D
Kodagu FC	1-1 D	4-3 W
SC Bengaluru	0-2 L	2-1 W
Rebels FC	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 5 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: MEG (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASC

DLLDLDLLLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Bangalore City FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-2	5	5	L
09/10	FC Agniputhra India Bangalore Super Division	0-2	1-2	6	2	L
06/10	FC Real Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-3	6	1	L
01/10	Parikrma FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
29/09	Bengaluru B India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
24/09	South United India Bangalore Super Division	0-3	0-5	2	5	L
21/09	Kodagu FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
17/09	United Stars India Bangalore Super Division	2-2	2-3	2	2	L
12/09	SC Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
07/11	Rebels FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-2	2-2	8	2	D

MEG

LWWWWDDWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	FC Agniputhra India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	5-0	5	2	W
15/10	FC Real Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	0-1	1-3	7	4	L
12/10	Parikrma FC India Bangalore Super Division	3-1	4-2	2	1	W
07/10	Bengaluru B India Bangalore Super Division	2-1	3-3	3	1	D
05/10	South United India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	2-2	7	4	D
30/09	Kodagu FC India Bangalore Super Division	3-1	4-3	3	4	W
22/09	SC Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	2-1	2-1	5	7	W
17/09	Rebels FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
12/09	HAL SC Bangalore India Bangalore Super Division	2-0	4-3	4	5	W
06/11	Parikrma FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-1	2-3	13	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASC vs MEG?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MEG win (66%). Probabilities: ASC 15%, draw 19%, MEG 66%.

How many goals are expected in ASC vs MEG?

The model expects 3.82 goals (ASC 1.21 · MEG 2.6), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASC vs MEG?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.