Football · India Bangalore Super Division · 03/11, 11:30

Prediction: South United vs HAL SC Bangalore

Team pages: South United · HAL SC Bangalore

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.94Total

South United2.97

HAL SC Bangalore0.97

1X2

82% 12% 7%

South United Draw HAL SC Bangalore

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-0 9%

Recent form · 10 last

South United 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWWWLW

HAL SC Bangalore 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDLDDLL

Head-to-head

South United 2–0 HAL SC Bangalore (2 last)

HAL SC Bangalore0-1South United
HAL SC Bangalore2-4South United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · South United 1575 · HAL SC Bangalore 1431

	South United	Draw	HAL SC Bangalore
Our model	77%	14%	9%
Market	86%	9%	5%

Estimated total (ours) 3.94 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South United (rating 1575 vs 1431).
H2H favours South United: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	South United	HAL SC Bangalore
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.6	2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.1	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.1	1.9 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.09

X10.00

219.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-3)1.95

2 (+3)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.07 → 1.09▲	Bet365 1.09
X	11.00 → 10.00▼	Bet365 10.00
2	23.00 → 19.00▼	Bet365 19.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:05 +3’	1.07	11.00	23.00
05:44 +17’	1.09▲	10.00▼	19.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · South United 2–0–0 HAL SC Bangalore

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/09/25 India Bangalore Super Division	HAL SC Bangalore	0-1 HT 0-0	South United
20/10/24 India Bangalore Super Division	HAL SC Bangalore	2-4 HT 1-1	South United

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	South United	HAL SC Bangalore
Bangalore Dream United FC	2-1 W	0-0 D
FC Bengaluru United	0-2 L	1-2 L
Stride Sports FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Roots FC	3-0 W	0-3 L
Technico FF	8-0 W	9-0 W
MEG	2-2 D	3-4 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: South United (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

South United

WDWWDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Bangalore Dream United FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
28/10	FC Bengaluru United India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
23/10	Stride Sports FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
13/10	Roots FC India Bangalore Super Division	2-0	3-0	10	7	W
08/10	Technico FF India Bangalore Super Division	5-0	8-0	8	3	W
05/10	MEG India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	2-2	6	4	D
29/09	Bangalore City FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
24/09	ASC India Bangalore Super Division	3-0	5-0	5	5	W
21/09	FC Agniputhra India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
15/09	FC Real Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	0-1	2-1	10	7	W

HAL SC Bangalore

LWLLDLDDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Kodagu FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-2	2-5	1	1	L
19/10	SC Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
14/10	Rebels FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
06/10	Bangalore Dream United FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
01/10	FC Bengaluru United India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-2	0	1	L
28/09	Stride Sports FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	1-1	2	2	D
24/09	Kickstart FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-1	2-3	6	6	L
21/09	Roots FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
16/09	Technico FF India Bangalore Super Division	5-0	9-0	8	3	W
12/09	MEG India Bangalore Super Division	0-2	3-4	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in South United vs HAL SC Bangalore?

According to our model, the most likely result is a South United win (82%). Probabilities: South United 82%, draw 12%, HAL SC Bangalore 7%.

How many goals are expected in South United vs HAL SC Bangalore?

The model expects 3.94 goals (South United 2.97 · HAL SC Bangalore 0.97), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in South United vs HAL SC Bangalore?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.