Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 01/11, 20:00

Prediction: Passo Fundo RS vs Brasil de Pelotas

Team pages: Passo Fundo RS · Brasil de Pelotas

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.93Total

Passo Fundo RS1.09

Brasil de Pelotas0.84

1X2

41% 32% 27%

Passo Fundo RS Draw Brasil de Pelotas

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Passo Fundo RS 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWDWWDWD

Brasil de Pelotas 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWLDWDWD

Head-to-head

Passo Fundo RS 2–2–1 Brasil de Pelotas (5 last)

Brasil de Pelotas1-1Passo Fundo RS
Passo Fundo RS0-0Brasil de Pelotas
Passo Fundo RS2-1Brasil de Pelotas
Brasil de Pelotas1-0Passo Fundo RS
Passo Fundo RS2-1Brasil de Pelotas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Passo Fundo RS 1576 · Brasil de Pelotas 1552

	Passo Fundo RS	Draw	Brasil de Pelotas
Our model	40%	34%	26%
Market	41%	30%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 1.93 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Passo Fundo RS: 2-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Passo Fundo RS	Brasil de Pelotas
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.3 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	2.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	2.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.80

Under 1.752.00

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.20▲	Pinn 2.27
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	3.50 → 3.25▼	Pinn 3.42 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.6% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:36 +9’	2.05	3.00	3.50
17:06 +5’	2.20▲	3.00	3.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
08:11 +4’	2.25	2.66	3.36
18:59	2.27▲	2.68▲	3.42▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Passo Fundo RS 2–2–1 Brasil de Pelotas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/10/26 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Brasil de Pelotas	1-1 HT 1-0	Passo Fundo RS
09/08/26 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Passo Fundo RS	0-0 HT 0-0	Brasil de Pelotas
30/03/17 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	Passo Fundo RS	2-1 HT 1-0	Brasil de Pelotas
03/04/16 Brazil Primeira Liga	Brasil de Pelotas	1-0 HT 1-0	Passo Fundo RS
13/03/15 Brazil Primeira Liga	Passo Fundo RS	2-1 HT 0-1	Brasil de Pelotas

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Passo Fundo RS	15	8	6	1	21	9	30
2	Veranopolis	15	7	5	3	12	6	26
3	CE Bento Goncalves	15	6	7	2	18	12	25
4	Santa Cruz RS	15	6	7	2	15	10	25
5	APAFUT	15	6	6	3	20	14	24
6	Uniao Frederiquense	15	6	6	3	17	12	24
7	Brasil de Farroupilha	14	5	8	1	13	7	23
8	Aimore RS	15	5	6	4	14	14	21
9	Brasil de Pelotas	13	5	5	3	13	10	20
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	15	4	6	5	18	21	18
11	GE Bage	15	3	6	6	13	19	15
12	EC Pelotas	13	2	7	4	11	15	13
13	Sport Clube Gaucho	15	3	3	9	11	16	12
14	GE Gloria	14	2	6	6	11	16	12
15	Gramadense	15	1	8	6	10	19	11
16	Lajeadense	15	1	2	12	6	23	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Passo Fundo RS	Brasil de Pelotas
Veranopolis	0-0 D	0-1 L
CE Bento Goncalves	2-1 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Passo Fundo RS

DWWWDWWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
24/10	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-1	3-1	7	4	W
17/10	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
10/10	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/10	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
27/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
24/09	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
19/09	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	3-1	2	4	W
17/09	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
13/09	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	2	10	D

Brasil de Pelotas

LDWWLDWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Passo Fundo RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
25/10	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
18/10	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
04/10	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/09	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
23/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
17/09	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
13/09	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Passo Fundo RS vs Brasil de Pelotas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Passo Fundo RS win (41%). Probabilities: Passo Fundo RS 41%, draw 32%, Brasil de Pelotas 27%.

How many goals are expected in Passo Fundo RS vs Brasil de Pelotas?

The model expects 1.93 goals (Passo Fundo RS 1.09 · Brasil de Pelotas 0.84), with a 52% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Passo Fundo RS vs Brasil de Pelotas?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.