Football · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2 · 29/10, 00:00

Prediction: Brasil de Pelotas vs Passo Fundo RS

Team pages: Brasil de Pelotas · Passo Fundo RS

See it on the live radar ↗

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.86Total

Brasil de Pelotas1.18

Passo Fundo RS0.68

1X2

48% 31% 21%

Brasil de Pelotas Draw Passo Fundo RS

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 57% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

1-0 17%

Recent form · 10 last

Brasil de Pelotas 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLDWWLDWDW

Passo Fundo RS 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDWWDW

Head-to-head

Brasil de Pelotas 1–1–2 Passo Fundo RS (4 last)

Passo Fundo RS0-0Brasil de Pelotas
Passo Fundo RS2-1Brasil de Pelotas
Brasil de Pelotas1-0Passo Fundo RS
Passo Fundo RS2-1Brasil de Pelotas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brasil de Pelotas 1540 · Passo Fundo RS 1584

	Brasil de Pelotas	Draw	Passo Fundo RS
Our model	47%	33%	20%
Market	48%	30%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 1.86 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Passo Fundo RS (rating 1540 vs 1584).
H2H favours Passo Fundo RS: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brasil de Pelotas	Passo Fundo RS
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	1.8 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6	1.7 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.00

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 1.85▼	Bet365 1.85
X	2.90 → 3.00▲	Pinn 3.01
2	3.50 → 4.10▲	Pinn 4.35 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
22:27 +5’	2.05	2.90	3.50
23:02 +2’	1.85▼	3.00▲	4.10▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:11 +4’	2.01	2.78	3.74
22:59 +5’	1.84▼	3.01▲	4.35▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brasil de Pelotas 1–1–2 Passo Fundo RS

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
09/08/26 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	Passo Fundo RS	0-0 HT 0-0	Brasil de Pelotas
30/03/17 Brazil Campeonato Gaucho	Passo Fundo RS	2-1 HT 1-0	Brasil de Pelotas
03/04/16 Brazil Primeira Liga	Brasil de Pelotas	1-0 HT 1-0	Passo Fundo RS
13/03/15 Brazil Primeira Liga	Passo Fundo RS	2-1 HT 0-1	Brasil de Pelotas

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Passo Fundo RS	15	8	6	1	21	9	30
2	Veranopolis	15	7	5	3	12	6	26
3	CE Bento Goncalves	15	6	7	2	18	12	25
4	Santa Cruz RS	15	6	7	2	15	10	25
5	APAFUT	15	6	6	3	20	14	24
6	Uniao Frederiquense	15	6	6	3	17	12	24
7	Brasil de Farroupilha	14	5	8	1	13	7	23
8	Aimore RS	15	5	6	4	14	14	21
9	Brasil de Pelotas	13	5	5	3	13	10	20
10	Guarani de Venancio Aires	15	4	6	5	18	21	18
11	GE Bage	15	3	6	6	13	19	15
12	EC Pelotas	13	2	7	4	11	15	13
13	Sport Clube Gaucho	15	3	3	9	11	16	12
14	GE Gloria	14	2	6	6	11	16	12
15	Gramadense	15	1	8	6	10	19	11
16	Lajeadense	15	1	2	12	6	23	5

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brasil de Pelotas	Passo Fundo RS
CE Bento Goncalves	2-0 W	2-1 W
Veranopolis	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brasil de Pelotas

WLDWWLDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
18/10	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
10/10	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
04/10	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
27/09	GE Bage Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
23/09	GE Gloria Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	7	0	W
17/09	Santa Cruz RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
13/09	Uniao Frederiquense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
06/09	Lajeadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	1-0	8	8	W

Passo Fundo RS

WDWWWDWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-1	3-1	7	4	W
17/10	APAFUT Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
10/10	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
03/10	Brasil de Farroupilha Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
27/09	Veranopolis Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
24/09	Guarani de Venancio Aires Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
19/09	Sport Clube Gaucho Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	1-0	3-1	2	4	W
17/09	CE Bento Goncalves Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
13/09	Aimore RS Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-1	1-1	2	10	D
10/09	Gramadense Brazil Campeonato Gaucho 2	0-0	2-0	2	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brasil de Pelotas vs Passo Fundo RS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brasil de Pelotas win (48%). Probabilities: Brasil de Pelotas 48%, draw 31%, Passo Fundo RS 21%.

How many goals are expected in Brasil de Pelotas vs Passo Fundo RS?

The model expects 1.86 goals (Brasil de Pelotas 1.18 · Passo Fundo RS 0.68), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Brasil de Pelotas vs Passo Fundo RS?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.