Football · South Africa National Div 1 · 23/10, 15:30

Prediction: Real Native FC vs Highbury FC

Team pages: Real Native FC · Highbury FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Real Native FC1.41

Highbury FC0.89

1X2

48% 30% 23%

Real Native FC Draw Highbury FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Native FC 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWLW

Highbury FC 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWLDDL

Head-to-head

Real Native FC 3–1 Highbury FC (4 last)

Real Native FC3-0Highbury FC
Highbury FC1-0Real Native FC
Highbury FC0-1Real Native FC
Real Native FC1-0Highbury FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Native FC 1567 · Highbury FC 1510

	Real Native FC	Draw	Highbury FC
Our model	48%	30%	23%
Market	48%	29%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Native FC (rating 1567 vs 1510).
H2H favours Real Native FC: 3-0-1.
High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Native FC	Highbury FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.6	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	17/83/0%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.5 / 8	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	2.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.00

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.85▲	Pinn 1.89
X	3.10 → 3.00▼	Pinn 3.06
2	4.75 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.00 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 13% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:40 +28’	1.73	3.10	4.75
21:28 +3’	1.85▲	3.00▼	3.90▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:43 +22’	1.89	3.06	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Native FC 3–0–1 Highbury FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/04/26 South Africa National Div 1	Real Native FC	3-0 HT 3-0	Highbury FC
24/10/25 South Africa National Div 1	Highbury FC	1-0	Real Native FC
04/04/25 South Africa National Div 1	Highbury FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Real Native FC
30/08/24 South Africa National Div 1	Real Native FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Highbury FC

Standings · South Africa National Div 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Magesi FC	7	5	2	0	10	3	17
2	Real Native FC	7	5	0	2	8	5	15
3	Cape Town City	7	4	2	1	12	7	14
4	Hungry Lions FC	7	3	3	1	10	5	12
5	Upington City	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
6	Lerumo Lions	7	3	2	2	8	6	11
7	Highbury FC	7	3	2	2	7	6	11
8	Seapoint Swifts FC	7	3	2	2	5	5	11
9	Gomora United	7	3	2	2	9	10	11
10	Leicesterford City FC	7	3	1	3	8	8	10
11	Midlands Wanderers FC	7	2	2	3	5	5	8
12	Pretoria University	7	2	2	3	7	8	8
13	NWU FC	7	1	4	2	3	5	7
14	Orbit College	7	0	3	4	3	8	3
15	The Bees FC	7	1	0	6	3	10	3
16	Venda Football Academy	7	0	1	6	4	13	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Native FC	Highbury FC
The Bees FC	1-0 W	2-1 W
Hungry Lions FC	0-2 L	0-4 L
Venda Football Academy	2-0 W	2-1 W
Lerumo Lions	1-0 W	1-2 L
Midlands Wanderers FC	1-0 W	3-1 W
Upington City	1-2 L	1-0 W
Gomora United	3-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Real Native FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Native FC

WWWWLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	The Bees FC South Africa National Div 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
10/10	Hungry Lions FC South Africa National Div 1	–	0-2	–	–	L
18/09	Venda Football Academy South Africa National Div 1	1-0	2-0	5	5	W
12/09	Lerumo Lions South Africa National Div 1	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
04/09	Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
29/08	Upington City South Africa National Div 1	–	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	Cape Town City South Africa National Div 1	1-1	2-1	6	4	W
17/05	Gomora United South Africa National Div 1	1-1	3-1	12	4	W
10/05	Upington City South Africa National Div 1	–	2-0	–	–	W
01/05	Baroka FC South Africa National Div 1	0-0	2-0	12	0	W

Highbury FC

WLWWWWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Lerumo Lions South Africa National Div 1	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/10	Orbit College South Africa National Div 1	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
18/09	Gomora United South Africa National Div 1	–	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Magesi FC South Africa National Div 1	–	0-1	–	–	L
05/09	Upington City South Africa National Div 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
28/08	Seapoint Swifts FC South Africa National Div 1	–	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	The Bees FC South Africa National Div 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
17/05	Venda Football Academy South Africa National Div 1	–	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	Hungry Lions FC South Africa National Div 1	–	0-4	–	–	L
01/05	Midlands Wanderers FC South Africa National Div 1	1-0	3-1	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Native FC vs Highbury FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Native FC win (48%). Probabilities: Real Native FC 48%, draw 30%, Highbury FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Real Native FC vs Highbury FC?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Real Native FC 1.41 · Highbury FC 0.89), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Native FC vs Highbury FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.