Football · Uganda Super League Women · 18/10, 15:00
Prediction: Kawempe Muslim FC (W) vs Uganda Martyrs (W)
Team pages: Kawempe Muslim FC (W) · Uganda Martyrs (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Kawempe Muslim FC (W)1.72
Uganda Martyrs (W)0.76
1X2
Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
Draw
Uganda Martyrs (W)
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Uganda Martyrs (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
6–0
Uganda Martyrs (W)
(6 last)
- Kawempe Muslim FC (W)3-0Uganda Martyrs (W)
- Uganda Martyrs (W)0-1Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
- Kawempe Muslim FC (W)1-0Uganda Martyrs (W)
- Uganda Martyrs (W)0-1Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
- Uganda Martyrs (W)0-1Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
- Kawempe Muslim FC (W)3-0Uganda Martyrs (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kawempe Muslim FC (W) 1602 · Uganda Martyrs (W) 1530
| Kawempe Muslim FC (W) | Draw | Uganda Martyrs (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 15% |
| Market | 60% | 25% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kawempe Muslim FC (W) (rating 1602 vs 1530).
- H2H favours Kawempe Muslim FC (W): 6-0-0.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kawempe Muslim FC (W) | Uganda Martyrs (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.5 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 6.5 | 3.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0.1 | 2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kawempe Muslim FC (W) 6–0–0 Uganda Martyrs (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Uganda Super League Women | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Uganda Martyrs (W) |
| 25/10/25 Uganda Super League Women | Uganda Martyrs (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) |
| 24/05/25 Uganda Super League Women | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Uganda Martyrs (W) |
| 07/12/24 Uganda Super League Women | Uganda Martyrs (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) |
| 17/02/24 Uganda Super League Women | Uganda Martyrs (W) | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) |
| 21/01/24 Uganda Super League Women | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Uganda Martyrs (W) |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kawempe Muslim FC (W) | Uganda Martyrs (W) |
|---|---|---|
| She Maroons (W) | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Olila High School (W) | 3-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Kampala Queens (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Rines SS (W) | 2-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Makerere University (W) | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Asubo Gafford (W) | 8-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Lady Doves FC (W) | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Amus College WFC (W) | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| She Corporate (W) | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 1 L | 6 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Kawempe Muslim FC (W) (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kawempe Muslim FC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09 | She Maroons (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 19/09 | Jinja United (W) Uganda Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Olila High School (W) Uganda Super League Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Kampala Queens (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Rines SS (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Makerere University (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Asubo Gafford (W) Uganda Super League Women |
4-0 | 8-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 29/03 | Lady Doves FC (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Amus College WFC (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 15/03 | She Corporate (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Uganda Martyrs (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Rines SS (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Lady Doves FC (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Amus College WFC (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | She Corporate (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | She Maroons (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Asubo Gafford (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Olila High School (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Kampala Queens (W) Uganda Super League Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 14/03 | Rines SS (W) Uganda Super League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 08/03 | Makerere University (W) Uganda Super League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kawempe Muslim FC (W) vs Uganda Martyrs (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Kawempe Muslim FC (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Kawempe Muslim FC (W) 59%, draw 25%, Uganda Martyrs (W) 15%.
How many goals are expected in Kawempe Muslim FC (W) vs Uganda Martyrs (W)?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Kawempe Muslim FC (W) 1.72 · Uganda Martyrs (W) 0.76), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Kawempe Muslim FC (W) vs Uganda Martyrs (W)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.