Football · Uganda Super League Women · 23/10, 15:00

Prediction: Uganda Martyrs (W) vs She Corporate (W)

Team pages: Uganda Martyrs (W) · She Corporate (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Uganda Martyrs (W)1.16

She Corporate (W)1.19

1X2

34% 30% 36%

Uganda Martyrs (W) Draw She Corporate (W)

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Uganda Martyrs (W) 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWLWWL

She Corporate (W) 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWLLWW

Head-to-head

Uganda Martyrs (W) 3–1–2 She Corporate (W) (6 last)

Uganda Martyrs (W)1-0She Corporate (W)
She Corporate (W)4-1Uganda Martyrs (W)
She Corporate (W)0-1Uganda Martyrs (W)
Uganda Martyrs (W)0-1She Corporate (W)
She Corporate (W)0-2Uganda Martyrs (W)
Uganda Martyrs (W)1-1She Corporate (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Uganda Martyrs (W) 1530 · She Corporate (W) 1548

	Uganda Martyrs (W)	Draw	She Corporate (W)
Our model	34%	31%	36%
Market	34%	30%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Uganda Martyrs (W): 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Uganda Martyrs (W)	She Corporate (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.5	0.8 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.00

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.98

Under 2.251.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:58 +8’	2.63	3.00	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Uganda Martyrs (W) 3–1–2 She Corporate (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Uganda Super League Women	Uganda Martyrs (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	She Corporate (W)
04/10/25 Uganda Super League Women	She Corporate (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	Uganda Martyrs (W)
23/03/25 Uganda Super League Women	She Corporate (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Uganda Martyrs (W)
28/09/24 Uganda Super League Women	Uganda Martyrs (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	She Corporate (W)
04/03/23 Uganda Super League Women	She Corporate (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Uganda Martyrs (W)
01/10/22 Uganda Super League Women	Uganda Martyrs (W)	1-1 HT 0-0	She Corporate (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Uganda Martyrs (W)	She Corporate (W)
Kawempe Muslim FC (W)	1-2 L	0-2 L
Rines SS (W)	4-1 W	3-2 W
She Maroons (W)	1-1 D	3-0 W
Olila High School (W)	3-1 W	1-0 W
KCCA (W)	0-2 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Uganda Martyrs (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Uganda Martyrs (W)

DLWWDWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Kawempe Muslim FC (W) Uganda Super League Women	0-2	1-2	5	3	L
27/09	Rines SS (W) Uganda Super League Women	1-0	4-1	3	1	W
20/09	Lady Doves FC (W) Uganda Super League Women	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
17/05	Amus College WFC (W) Uganda Super League Women	0-0	0-2	7	1	L
10/05	She Corporate (W) Uganda Super League Women	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
25/04	She Maroons (W) Uganda Super League Women	1-0	1-1	6	3	D
11/04	Asubo Gafford (W) Uganda Super League Women	0-0	3-0	7	2	W
28/03	Olila High School (W) Uganda Super League Women	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
21/03	KCCA (W) Uganda Super League Women	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
14/03	Rines SS (W) Uganda Super League Women	1-0	1-1	3	0	D

She Corporate (W)

LWWWWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	She Maroons (W) Uganda Super League Women	1-0	3-0	1	0	W
26/09	Jinja United (W) Uganda Super League Women	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
20/09	St Noa GFC (W) Uganda Super League Women	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
10/05	Uganda Martyrs (W) Uganda Super League Women	0-0	0-1	1	1	L
25/04	St Noa GFC (W) Uganda Super League Women	0-0	2-1	2	3	W
11/04	Olila High School (W) Uganda Super League Women	0-0	1-0	10	2	W
04/04	KCCA (W) Uganda Super League Women	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
29/03	Rines SS (W) Uganda Super League Women	2-2	3-2	3	4	W
21/03	Makerere University (W) Uganda Super League Women	1-0	2-1	7	2	W
15/03	Kawempe Muslim FC (W) Uganda Super League Women	0-1	0-2	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Uganda Martyrs (W) vs She Corporate (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an She Corporate (W) win (36%). Probabilities: Uganda Martyrs (W) 34%, draw 30%, She Corporate (W) 36%.

How many goals are expected in Uganda Martyrs (W) vs She Corporate (W)?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Uganda Martyrs (W) 1.16 · She Corporate (W) 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Uganda Martyrs (W) vs She Corporate (W)?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.