Prediction: Al Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC
Team pages: Al Gharafa · Al-Rayyan SC
See it on the live radar ↗- Al Gharafa3-2Al-Rayyan SC
- Al-Rayyan SC2-3Al Gharafa
- Al-Rayyan SC1-2Al Gharafa
- Al-Rayyan SC2-2Al Gharafa
- Al Gharafa2-1Al-Rayyan SC
- Al-Rayyan SC2-1Al Gharafa
| Al Gharafa | Draw | Al-Rayyan SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 21% | 55% |
| Market | 23% | 23% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Rayyan SC (rating 1436 vs 1570).
- H2H favours Al Gharafa: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Gharafa | Al-Rayyan SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.4 | 2.1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 70/10/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Gharafa 4–1–1 Al-Rayyan SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/26 Qatar Stars League | Al Gharafa | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Al-Rayyan SC |
| 25/09/25 Qatar Stars League | Al-Rayyan SC | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Al Gharafa |
| 24/05/25 Qatar Cup | Al-Rayyan SC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Al Gharafa |
| 29/01/25 Qatar Stars League | Al-Rayyan SC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Al Gharafa |
| 23/08/24 Qatar Stars League | Al Gharafa | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Al-Rayyan SC |
| 01/05/24 Qatar Cup | Al-Rayyan SC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Al Gharafa |
Standings · Qatar Stars League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Rayyan SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Al Sadd | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | Al-Arabi Doha | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Duhail | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Al-Shamal SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 6 | Al-Wakrah SC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| 7 | Al-Ahli Doha | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 7 |
| 8 | Al-Shahaniya SC | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 7 |
| 9 | Lusail | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 10 | Al Gharafa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 11 | Qatar SC Doha | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 3 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya SC | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 1 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Gharafa | Al-Rayyan SC |
|---|---|---|
| Al-Wakrah SC | 2-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Lusail | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Al Sadd | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Al-Shahaniya SC | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Al Duhail | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Al-Ahli Doha | 1-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Qatar SC Doha | 0-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Al-Rayyan SC (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Gharafa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Stars League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 11/09 | Lusail Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | Al Sadd Qatar Stars League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/08 | Al-Shamal SC Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 27/04 | Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 08/04 | Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Stars League |
1-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | Al Duhail Qatar Stars League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 18/03 | Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/03 | Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
Al-Rayyan SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Qatar SC Doha Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/09 | Al-Ahli Doha Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Al Duhail Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 27/08 | Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | Lusail Qatar Stars League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 27/04 | Al-Arabi Doha Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/04 | Umm Salal Qatar Stars League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Al Sadd Qatar Stars League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/03 | Al-Wakrah SC Qatar Stars League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 13/03 | Al-Shahaniya SC Qatar Stars League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al-Rayyan SC win (54%). Probabilities: Al Gharafa 23%, draw 22%, Al-Rayyan SC 54%.
How many goals are expected in Al Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC?
The model expects 3.82 goals (Al Gharafa 1.51 · Al-Rayyan SC 2.31), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Gharafa vs Al-Rayyan SC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.