Football · UAE Division 1 · 17/10, 15:05

Prediction: Dubai City vs Al Hamriyah

Team pages: Dubai City · Al Hamriyah

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

Dubai City1.18

Al Hamriyah1.91

1X2

23% 24% 54%

Dubai City Draw Al Hamriyah

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Dubai City 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LDLLLLWDLL

Al Hamriyah 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLWWL

Head-to-head

Dubai City 2–2–2 Al Hamriyah (6 last)

Dubai City0-5Al Hamriyah
Al Hamriyah0-1Dubai City
Al Hamriyah3-1Dubai City
Dubai City2-2Al Hamriyah
Al Hamriyah1-2Dubai City
Dubai City2-2Al Hamriyah

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dubai City 1418 · Al Hamriyah 1507

	Dubai City	Draw	Al Hamriyah
Our model	22%	24%	53%
Market	23%	23%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Hamriyah (rating 1418 vs 1507).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dubai City	Al Hamriyah
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.6	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.3	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 2.2	2.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.90

X3.90

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
13:07 +9’	3.90	3.90	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dubai City 2–2–2 Al Hamriyah

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 UAE Division 1	Dubai City	0-5 HT 0-2	Al Hamriyah
23/11/25 UAE Division 1	Al Hamriyah	0-1 HT 0-0	Dubai City
03/05/24 UAE Division 1	Al Hamriyah	3-1 HT 2-0	Dubai City
23/12/23 UAE Division 1	Dubai City	2-2 HT 1-1	Al Hamriyah
11/03/23 UAE Division 1	Al Hamriyah	1-2 HT 0-1	Dubai City
28/10/22 UAE Division 1	Dubai City	2-2 HT 0-1	Al Hamriyah

Standings · UAE Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain	6	5	1	0	17	8	16
2	Al Dhaid	5	3	1	1	11	5	10
3	Dibba Al Fujairah	5	3	1	1	13	9	10
4	Al Fujairah	6	3	0	3	12	10	9
5	Al Hamriyah	6	3	0	3	7	10	9
6	Al Urooba	6	2	3	1	9	6	9
7	Emirates Club RAK	6	3	0	3	10	6	9
8	Forte Virtus FC	5	3	0	2	8	7	9
9	Al Bataeh	6	2	2	2	6	7	8
10	Dubba Al Husun	5	2	1	2	10	7	7
11	Gulf United FC	5	2	0	3	9	9	6
12	Palm City FC	5	2	0	3	10	14	6
13	Dubai City	6	1	1	4	8	16	4
14	Al Ittifaq Dubai	6	1	1	4	3	9	4
15	Al Jazira Al Hamra	6	0	3	3	4	14	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dubai City	Al Hamriyah
Emirates Club RAK	0-3 L	3-0 W
Dubba Al Husun	0-2 L	0-4 L
Hatta Dubai	0-3 L	0-1 L
Al Fujairah	1-1 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Al Hamriyah (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dubai City

LDLLLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Emirates Club RAK UAE Division 1	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
18/09	Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain UAE Division 1	2-1	2-3	1	3	L
11/09	Al Jazira Al Hamra UAE Division 1	1-1	2-2	3	2	D
05/09	Al Ittifaq Dubai UAE Division 1	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
28/08	Al Dhaid UAE Division 1	0-2	1-5	3	4	L
21/08	Dibba Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	0-3	1-3	1	5	L
29/05	Dubba Al Husun UAE Division 1	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
23/05	Hatta Dubai UAE Division 1	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
15/05	Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
10/05	Al Jazira Al Hamra UAE Division 1	2-1	3-4	1	8	L

Al Hamriyah

LLWWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Al Urooba UAE Division 1	0-2	0-3	6	4	L
18/09	Al Bataeh UAE Division 1	1-0	3-1	1	4	W
13/09	Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	0-0	2-0	6	4	W
05/09	Palm City FC UAE Division 1	0-0	1-2	6	8	L
30/08	Forte Virtus FC UAE Division 1	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
23/08	Dubba Al Husun UAE Division 1	0-1	0-4	7	6	L
29/05	Dubai United UAE Division 1	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
23/05	Emirates Club RAK UAE Division 1	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
15/05	Dubba Al Husun UAE Division 1	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
10/05	Hatta Dubai UAE Division 1	0-0	0-1	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dubai City vs Al Hamriyah?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Hamriyah win (54%). Probabilities: Dubai City 23%, draw 24%, Al Hamriyah 54%.

How many goals are expected in Dubai City vs Al Hamriyah?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Dubai City 1.18 · Al Hamriyah 1.91), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dubai City vs Al Hamriyah?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.