Football · UAE Division 1 · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: Al Dhaid vs Al Jazira Al Hamra

Team pages: Al Dhaid · Al Jazira Al Hamra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.99Total

Al Dhaid1.96

Al Jazira Al Hamra1.03

1X2

58% 23% 19%

Al Dhaid Draw Al Jazira Al Hamra

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Al Dhaid 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLLDWWWL

Al Jazira Al Hamra 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWLDLDLD

Head-to-head

Al Dhaid 4–1–1 Al Jazira Al Hamra (6 last)

Al Dhaid1-0Al Jazira Al Hamra
Al Jazira Al Hamra0-4Al Dhaid
Al Jazira Al Hamra1-2Al Dhaid
Al Dhaid0-0Al Jazira Al Hamra
Al Jazira Al Hamra3-2Al Dhaid
Al Dhaid3-0Al Jazira Al Hamra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Al Dhaid 1505 · Al Jazira Al Hamra 1456

	Al Dhaid	Draw	Al Jazira Al Hamra
Our model	58%	24%	18%
Market	59%	22%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Dhaid (rating 1505 vs 1456).
H2H favours Al Dhaid: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Al Dhaid	Al Jazira Al Hamra
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 3.2	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.00

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:12 +4’	1.53	4.00	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Dhaid 4–1–1 Al Jazira Al Hamra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 UAE Division 1	Al Dhaid	1-0 HT 0-0	Al Jazira Al Hamra
26/12/25 UAE Division 1	Al Jazira Al Hamra	0-4 HT 0-2	Al Dhaid
24/05/25 UAE Division 1	Al Jazira Al Hamra	1-2 HT 0-0	Al Dhaid
26/01/25 UAE Division 1	Al Dhaid	0-0 HT 0-0	Al Jazira Al Hamra
21/04/24 UAE Division 1	Al Jazira Al Hamra	3-2 HT 0-1	Al Dhaid
11/12/23 UAE Division 1	Al Dhaid	3-0 HT 2-0	Al Jazira Al Hamra

Standings · UAE Division 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain	6	5	1	0	17	8	16
2	Al Dhaid	5	3	1	1	11	5	10
3	Dibba Al Fujairah	5	3	1	1	13	9	10
4	Al Fujairah	6	3	0	3	12	10	9
5	Al Hamriyah	6	3	0	3	7	10	9
6	Al Urooba	6	2	3	1	9	6	9
7	Emirates Club RAK	6	3	0	3	10	6	9
8	Forte Virtus FC	5	3	0	2	8	7	9
9	Al Bataeh	6	2	2	2	6	7	8
10	Dubba Al Husun	5	2	1	2	10	7	7
11	Gulf United FC	5	2	0	3	9	9	6
12	Palm City FC	5	2	0	3	10	14	6
13	Dubai City	6	1	1	4	8	16	4
14	Al Ittifaq Dubai	6	1	1	4	3	9	4
15	Al Jazira Al Hamra	6	0	3	3	4	14	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Al Dhaid	Al Jazira Al Hamra
Dibba Al Fujairah	2-0 W	2-2 D
Gulf United FC	3-2 W	0-2 L
Dubai City	5-1 W	2-2 D
Al Urooba	1-1 D	0-2 L
Al Fujairah	0-0 D	0-6 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	0 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Al Dhaid (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Al Dhaid

WDLLLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Al Ittifaq Dubai UAE Division 1	0-1	0-1	7	8	L
11/09	Dibba Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	1-0	2-0	0	2	W
04/09	Gulf United FC UAE Division 1	1-1	3-2	0	3	W
28/08	Dubai City UAE Division 1	2-0	5-1	5	4	W
21/08	Al Urooba UAE Division 1	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
29/05	Emirates Club RAK UAE Division 1	1-2	1-2	6	4	L
23/05	Dubba Al Husun UAE Division 1	0-0	1-3	3	2	L
15/05	Hatta Dubai UAE Division 1	0-2	0-4	1	7	L
10/05	Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
03/05	Al Jazira Al Hamra UAE Division 1	0-0	1-0	3	4	W

Al Jazira Al Hamra

LWDWLDLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Dibba Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	0-1	2-2	3	6	D
18/09	Gulf United FC UAE Division 1	0-1	0-2	3	4	L
11/09	Dubai City UAE Division 1	1-1	2-2	5	2	D
04/09	Al Urooba UAE Division 1	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
29/08	Al Bataeh UAE Division 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
22/08	Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	–	0-6	2	1	L
29/05	Al Fujairah UAE Division 1	1-1	3-1	4	8	W
15/05	Majd FC UAE Division 1	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
10/05	Dubai City UAE Division 1	1-2	4-3	6	8	W
03/05	Al Dhaid UAE Division 1	0-0	0-1	10	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Al Dhaid vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Dhaid win (58%). Probabilities: Al Dhaid 58%, draw 23%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 19%.

How many goals are expected in Al Dhaid vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Al Dhaid 1.96 · Al Jazira Al Hamra 1.03), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Al Dhaid vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.