Football · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · 22/10, 02:30
Prediction: Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi
Team pages: Oriente Petrolero · Nacional Potosi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.75Total
Oriente Petrolero1.63
Nacional Potosi1.12
1X2
Oriente Petrolero
Draw
Nacional Potosi
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Oriente Petrolero
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Nacional Potosi
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Oriente Petrolero
1–2–3
Nacional Potosi
(6 last)
- Oriente Petrolero1-0Nacional Potosi
- Oriente Petrolero1-1Nacional Potosi
- Nacional Potosi3-1Oriente Petrolero
- Oriente Petrolero2-2Nacional Potosi
- Nacional Potosi4-1Oriente Petrolero
- Nacional Potosi4-1Oriente Petrolero
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Oriente Petrolero 1525 · Nacional Potosi 1564
| Oriente Petrolero | Draw | Nacional Potosi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 27% | 25% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nacional Potosi: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Oriente Petrolero | Nacional Potosi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 2.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.1 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.8 | 5.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Oriente Petrolero 1–2–3 Nacional Potosi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 15/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Oriente Petrolero | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 12/11/25 Bolivia Copa Division Profesional | Nacional Potosi | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 20/09/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Oriente Petrolero | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Nacional Potosi |
| 30/07/25 Bolivia Primera Division | Nacional Potosi | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Oriente Petrolero |
| 14/12/24 Bolivia Clausura | Nacional Potosi | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Oriente Petrolero |
Standings · Bolivia Copa Division Profesional · Copa Bolivia 2026, Group C
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Strongest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 14 |
| 2 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 3 | Guabira | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| 4 | Universitario De Vinto | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 17 | 7 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Oriente Petrolero
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 04/10 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 01/10 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Universitario De Vinto Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 21/09 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 09/09 | Guabira Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 31/08 | Blooming Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | The Strongest Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 15/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/11 | Nacional Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 6 | L |
Nacional Potosi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 03/10 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 01/10 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/09 | Always Ready Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
3-0 | 9-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Real Potosi Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 13 | D |
| 09/09 | Real Oruro Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Real Tomayapo Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
1-0 | 5-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 23/12 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 20/12 | Bolivar Bolivia Copa Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Oriente Petrolero win (49%). Probabilities: Oriente Petrolero 49%, draw 26%, Nacional Potosi 25%.
How many goals are expected in Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?
The model expects 2.75 goals (Oriente Petrolero 1.63 · Nacional Potosi 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.