Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 14/10, 21:00

Prediction: Ittihad Tanger vs MAS Fes

Team pages: Ittihad Tanger · MAS Fes

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.81Total
Ittihad Tanger0.69
MAS Fes1.13
1X2
22% 33% 46%
Ittihad Tanger Draw MAS Fes
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0 18%
Recent form · 10 last
Ittihad Tanger 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWWLDLWWDL
MAS Fes 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DWLWWDWWWD
Head-to-head
Ittihad Tanger 1–4–1 MAS Fes (6 last)
  • MAS Fes0-1Ittihad Tanger
  • Ittihad Tanger1-1MAS Fes
  • MAS Fes1-1Ittihad Tanger
  • Ittihad Tanger1-1MAS Fes
  • MAS Fes2-2Ittihad Tanger
  • MAS Fes2-1Ittihad Tanger
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Ittihad Tanger 1529 · MAS Fes 1559
Ittihad TangerDrawMAS Fes
Our model21%34%45%
Market23%31%46%
Estimated total (ours) 1.81 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Ittihad TangerMAS Fes
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 11.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.70.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.7 / 5.11.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.4 / 0.35.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Ittihad Tanger 1–4–1 MAS Fes

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DateHomeScoreAway
22/05/26
Morocco GNF 1
MAS Fes0-1
HT 0-0
Ittihad Tanger
25/10/25
Morocco GNF 1
Ittihad Tanger1-1
HT 0-0
MAS Fes
08/03/25
Morocco GNF 1
MAS Fes1-1
HT 1-0
Ittihad Tanger
03/11/24
Morocco GNF 1
Ittihad Tanger1-1
HT 1-0
MAS Fes
28/03/24
Morocco Cup
MAS Fes2-2
HT 0-1
Ittihad Tanger
09/03/24
Morocco GNF 1
MAS Fes2-1
HT 2-1
Ittihad Tanger

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MAS Fes 3210 427
2 Union de Touarga 3210 317
3 HUSA Agadir 3201 966
4 KACM Marrakesh 3201 546
5 CODM Meknes 3111 634
6 WAC Casablanca 3111 334
7 Ittihad Tanger 3111 544
8 Raja Casablanca 2110 104
9 FAR Rabat 1100 103
10 Difaa El Jadida 3102 7103
11 Widad Temara 3102 333
12 US Amal Tiznit 3102 483
13 MAT Tetouan 3030 113
14 RSB Berkane 2020 002
15 FUS Rabat 3012 131
16 Renaissance Zemamra 3003 380

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentIttihad TangerMAS Fes
KACM Marrakesh 1-2 L 0-0 D
Raja Casablanca 1-1 D 0-0 D
Olympique Dcheira 0-2 L 2-0 W
Renaissance Zemamra 1-0 W 2-1 W
US Yacoub El Mansour 2-1 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 2 L 3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MAS Fes (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ittihad Tanger

WWWLDLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/10 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-2 56 L
02/10 MAT Tetouan
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-1 75 D
24/09 US Amal Tiznit
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 3-1 53 W
05/07 CODM Meknes
Morocco GNF 1
2-0 2-1 –– W
02/07 Union de Touarga
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-1 15 L
28/06 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-1 69 D
25/06 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
0-2 0-2 105 L
21/06 Renaissance Zemamra
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 1-0 45 W
17/06 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 2-0 58 W
14/06 US Yacoub El Mansour
Morocco GNF 1
1-1 2-1 36 W

MAS Fes

DWLWWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/10 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 46 D
03/10 HUSA Agadir
Morocco GNF 1
2-0 2-1 53 W
27/09 Renaissance Zemamra
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 2-1 64 W
05/07 Olympique Dcheira
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 2-0 –– W
02/07 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 03 D
28/06 US Yacoub El Mansour
Morocco GNF 1
2-0 2-1 24 W
25/06 WAC Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-0 16 W
21/06 RSB Berkane
Morocco GNF 1
1-2 1-2 67 L
17/06 Difaa El Jadida
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 2-1 35 W
12/06 FUS Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-1 611 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ittihad Tanger vs MAS Fes?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MAS Fes win (46%). Probabilities: Ittihad Tanger 22%, draw 33%, MAS Fes 46%.

How many goals are expected in Ittihad Tanger vs MAS Fes?

The model expects 1.81 goals (Ittihad Tanger 0.69 · MAS Fes 1.13), with a 57% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Ittihad Tanger vs MAS Fes?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.