Football · India Bangalore Super Division · 05/10, 07:30

Prediction: South United vs MEG

Team pages: South United · MEG

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.95Total

South United2.34

MEG1.6

1X2

54% 20% 26%

South United Draw MEG

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

South United 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWWDWW

MEG 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDLLWWWW

Head-to-head

South United 2–2 MEG (4 last)

MEG0-1South United
MEG0-2South United
MEG7-1South United
South United1-2MEG

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · South United 1534 · MEG 1543

	South United	Draw	MEG
Our model	53%	21%	25%
Market	55%	19%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.95 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	South United	MEG
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 0.6	2.2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.4	1.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.6	2.1 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.65

X4.75

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.65▲	Bet365 1.65
X	4.50 → 4.75▲	Bet365 4.75
2	4.20 → 3.40▼	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:16 +2’	1.53	4.50	4.20
08:28 +2’	1.65▲	4.75▲	3.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · South United 2–0–2 MEG

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/12/24 India Bangalore Super Division	MEG	0-1 HT 0-1	South United
24/12/19 India Bangalore Super Division	MEG	0-2 HT 0-1	South United
08/03/18 India Bangalore Super Division	MEG	7-1 HT 4-1	South United
30/01/17 India Bangalore Super Division	South United	1-2 HT 0-1	MEG

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	South United	MEG
Bangalore City FC	1-0 W	2-2 D
ASC	5-0 W	1-1 D
FC Agniputhra	0-0 D	0-6 L
Parikrma FC	4-0 W	2-3 L
SC Bengaluru	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: South United (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

South United

WDLWLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/09	Bangalore City FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
24/09	ASC India Bangalore Super Division	3-0	5-0	5	5	W
21/09	FC Agniputhra India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
15/09	FC Real Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	0-1	2-1	10	7	W
10/09	Parikrma FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	4-0	1	2	W
10/11	Kickstart FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
04/11	FC Real Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
30/10	FC Bengaluru United India Bangalore Super Division	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
16/10	SC Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
13/10	Bharat Bengaluru FC India Bangalore Super Division	3-1	4-1	9	2	W

MEG

WWDDLLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/09	Kodagu FC India Bangalore Super Division	3-1	4-3	3	4	W
22/09	SC Bengaluru India Bangalore Super Division	2-1	2-1	5	7	W
17/09	Rebels FC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
12/09	HAL SC Bangalore India Bangalore Super Division	2-0	4-3	4	5	W
06/11	Parikrma FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-1	2-3	13	6	L
03/11	FC Agniputhra India Bangalore Super Division	0-3	0-6	1	3	L
28/10	Bangalore City FC India Bangalore Super Division	2-1	2-2	1	6	D
23/10	ASC India Bangalore Super Division	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
17/10	Rebels FC India Bangalore Super Division	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
13/10	HAL SC Bangalore India Bangalore Super Division	2-1	4-2	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in South United vs MEG?

According to our model, the most likely result is a South United win (54%). Probabilities: South United 54%, draw 20%, MEG 26%.

How many goals are expected in South United vs MEG?

The model expects 3.95 goals (South United 2.34 · MEG 1.6), with a 52% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in South United vs MEG?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.