Prediction: MEG vs FC Real Bengaluru

Team pages: MEG · FC Real Bengaluru

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.08Total
MEG2.44
FC Real Bengaluru1.64
1X2
54% 22% 24%
MEG Draw FC Real Bengaluru
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
MEG 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DLLWWWWDDW
FC Real Bengaluru 1-3-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLDDWD
Head-to-head
MEG 1–1–0 FC Real Bengaluru (2 last)
  • MEG1-1FC Real Bengaluru
  • FC Real Bengaluru0-1MEG
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MEG 1542 · FC Real Bengaluru 1444
MEGDrawFC Real Bengaluru
Our model55%21%25%
Market54%22%24%
Estimated total (ours) 4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MEG (rating 1542 vs 1444).
  • Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MEGFC Real Bengaluru
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 2.61.2 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.90.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.51.2 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 03.3 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · MEG 1–1–0 FC Real Bengaluru

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/09/25
India Bangalore Super Division
MEG1-1
HT 0-1
FC Real Bengaluru
31/12/24
India Bangalore Super Division
FC Real Bengaluru0-1
HT 0-0
MEG

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMEGFC Real Bengaluru
Parikrma FC 4-2 W 2-2 D
Bengaluru B 3-3 D 0-4 L
South United 2-2 D 1-2 L
Kodagu FC 4-3 W 2-3 L
FC Agniputhra 0-6 L 2-2 D
Bangalore City FC 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 1 L 0 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: MEG (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MEG

DLLWWWWDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/10 Parikrma FC
India Bangalore Super Division
3-1 4-2 21 W
07/10 Bengaluru B
India Bangalore Super Division
2-1 3-3 31 D
05/10 South United
India Bangalore Super Division
0-0 2-2 74 D
30/09 Kodagu FC
India Bangalore Super Division
3-1 4-3 34 W
22/09 SC Bengaluru
India Bangalore Super Division
2-1 2-1 57 W
17/09 Rebels FC
India Bangalore Super Division
0-0 2-1 63 W
12/09 HAL SC Bangalore
India Bangalore Super Division
2-0 4-3 45 W
06/11 Parikrma FC
India Bangalore Super Division
1-1 2-3 136 L
03/11 FC Agniputhra
India Bangalore Super Division
0-3 0-6 13 L
28/10 Bangalore City FC
India Bangalore Super Division
2-1 2-2 16 D

FC Real Bengaluru

LLLLLLDDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/10 Bangalore City FC
India Bangalore Super Division
0-0 1-1 63 D
06/10 ASC
India Bangalore Super Division
0-0 3-0 31 W
01/10 FC Agniputhra
India Bangalore Super Division
1-2 2-2 47 D
23/09 Parikrma FC
India Bangalore Super Division
0-0 2-2 51 D
18/09 Bengaluru B
India Bangalore Super Division
0-1 0-4 03 L
15/09 South United
India Bangalore Super Division
1-0 1-2 37 L
11/09 Kodagu FC
India Bangalore Super Division
0-3 2-3 36 L
17/11 Kickstart FC
India Bangalore Super Division
0-3 0-6 23 L
07/11 Roots FC
India Bangalore Super Division
0-1 0-2 30 L
04/11 South United
India Bangalore Super Division
0-1 1-2 56 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MEG vs FC Real Bengaluru?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MEG win (54%). Probabilities: MEG 54%, draw 22%, FC Real Bengaluru 24%.

How many goals are expected in MEG vs FC Real Bengaluru?

The model expects 4.08 goals (MEG 2.44 · FC Real Bengaluru 1.64), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in MEG vs FC Real Bengaluru?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.